Marshall Thundering Herd Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Marshall Thundering Herd. All of these projections for Marshall are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Marshall Record and Rankings

Record: 19-14
Projected Final Record: 19.0-14.0

CUSA Conference Record: 11-7
Projected Final CUSA Record: 11.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 6

Marshall Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 142
RPI Rank: 100
NET Rank: 148
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 2-6 4-6 12-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.250 0.400 1.000

Our current projections give the Marshall Thundering Herd a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Marshall’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Marshall Thundering Herd. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Marshall Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 256 E Kentucky Away W 105-77
11/11 95 Hofstra Home W 76-72
11/14 325 Mt St Mary’s Home W 98-75
11/19 290 NC A&T Home W 95-71
11/23 26 Maryland Away L 67-104
11/28 196 William & Mary Home W 84-64
12/1 171 Ohio Away L 84-101
12/5 160 Duquesne Away L 82-93
12/8 64 Toledo Home L 74-75
12/10 255 Morehead St Home W 76-64
12/15 132 Akron Away W 75-74
12/22 78 Texas A&M Away L 68-92
12/31 1 Virginia Away L 64-100
1/3 87 Old Dominion Away W 70-67
1/5 268 Charlotte Away W 85-84
1/12 105 WKU Home W 70-69
1/17 177 FL Atlantic Home W 96-84
1/19 173 Florida Intl Home W 105-97
1/21 105 WKU Away L 59-68
1/24 137 Louisiana Tech Away L 80-89
1/26 114 Southern Miss Away L 51-101
1/31 302 UTEP Home W 91-86
2/2 144 UT San Antonio Home L 106-116
2/7 164 North Texas Away L 51-78
2/9 237 Rice Away L 69-74
2/14 139 UAB Home L 68-77
2/16 235 MTSU Home W 98-93
2/28 137 Louisiana Tech Away W 90-79
3/3 164 North Texas Away W 85-82
3/6 173 Florida Intl Home W 94-78
3/9 177 FL Atlantic Home W 76-61
3/13 237 Rice Neutal W 82-65
3/14 114 Southern Miss Neutral L 73-82