McNeese State Cowboys Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the McNeese State Cowboys. All of these projections for McNeese St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

McNeese St Record and Rankings

Record: 5-13
Projected Final Record: 9.6-20.4

Southland Conference Record: 2-4
Projected Final Southland Record: 6.6-11.4
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 11

McNeese St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 320
RPI Rank: 328
NET Rank: 297
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 0-5 3-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.429

Our current projections give the McNeese State Cowboys a 0.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account McNeese St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the McNeese State Cowboys. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

McNeese St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 56 St Mary’s CA Away L 65-87
11/9 59 Arizona St Away L 52-80
11/16 No Rank Loyola NO Home L 78-79
11/20 No Rank Mobile Home W 74-60
11/23 No Rank Mississippi Col Home W 80-42
11/29 121 SMU Away L 59-91
12/1 329 NC Central Away L 66-67
12/4 28 Mississippi St Away L 77-90
12/13 329 NC Central Home W 77-61
12/15 244 Missouri KC Away L 67-80
12/18 167 Louisiana Home L 67-80
12/22 191 UTRGV Away L 64-68
1/2 339 Incarnate Word Away W 88-77
1/5 328 Northwestern LA Away L 61-66
1/9 147 Abilene Chr Home L 72-73
1/12 232 New Orleans Away L 66-79
1/16 297 Nicholls St Home W 86-75
1/19 310 SE Louisiana Home L 71-74
1/26 272 Houston Bap Home 44.3%
2/2 283 Lamar Home 48.5%
2/6 182 Sam Houston St Away 13.9%
2/9 328 Northwestern LA Home 67.6%
2/13 257 SF Austin Away 24.3%
2/16 310 SE Louisiana Away 38.5%
2/20 237 Cent Arkansas Home 42.5%
2/23 232 New Orleans Home 42.5%
2/27 297 Nicholls St Away 37.6%
3/2 272 Houston Bap Away 26.7%
3/6 261 TAM C. Christi Home 43.9%
3/9 283 Lamar Away 31.3%