MEAC Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MEAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.

MEAC Projected Conference Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Bethune-Cookman 16 12 17.9 13.1 10 3 11.9 4.1
2 Savannah St 13 15 14.6 16.4 10 3 11.6 4.4
3 NC A&T 17 11 18.5 12.5 10 3 11.5 4.5
4 Hampton 15 14 16.3 14.7 10 4 11.3 4.7
5 Norfolk St 11 17 12.7 18.3 9 4 10.7 5.3
6 NC Central 14 13 15.5 14.5 8 5 9.5 6.5
7 Morgan St 10 16 11.7 17.3 6 7 7.7 8.3
8 Howard 8 21 9.8 22.2 5 8 6.8 9.2
9 Florida A&M 6 23 7.3 24.7 5 8 6.3 9.7
10 S Carolina St 9 19 10.2 20.8 5 8 6.2 9.8
11 Coppin St 5 24 5.7 25.3 5 9 5.7 10.3
12 MD E Shore 6 23 7.1 23.9 2 12 3.1 12.9
13 Delaware St 3 25 3.8 27.2 1 12 1.8 14.2

Projected MEAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
NC A&T 16 -4.786

MEAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each MEAC team. The MEAC Men’s Basketball Tournament features thirteen teams and is played on a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Norfolk Scope Arena (Norfolk, VA)
First Round: March 5th and 6th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 7th and 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Bethune-Cookman
100%
72.9%
36.9%
20.6%
2
Savannah St
100%
59.4%
30%
11.5%
3
NC A&T
100%
61.1%
36.4%
18.8%
4
Hampton
88.3%
60.8%
38.7%
26.1%
5
Norfolk St
75.8%
31.9%
15.9%
9%
6
NC Central
70.9%
31.5%
17.3%
6.4%
7
Morgan St
68.5%
30.2%
12.9%
4.5%
8
Howard
57.6%
17%
4.4%
1.4%
9
Florida A&M
42.4%
10.1%
2.3%
0.5%
10
S Carolina St
31.5%
10.4%
1.6%
0.2%
11
Coppin St
29.1%
7.4%
1.8%
0.4%
12
MD E Shore
24.2%
5.3%
1.3%
0.6%
13
Delaware St
11.7%
2%
0.5%
0%

MEAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/24 Savannah St 34% Bethune-Cookman 66% Bethune-Cookman wins by 5
2/24 NC Central 57.5% S Carolina St 42.5% NC Central wins by 3
2/24 Delaware St 15.8% Howard 84.2% Howard wins by 11
2/24 NC A&T 62.8% Florida A&M 37.2% NC A&T wins by 5
2/24 Morgan St 20.6% Hampton 79.4% Hampton wins by 9
2/24 Norfolk St 63.4% MD E Shore 36.6% Norfolk St wins by 5
2/26 Norfolk St 54.4% Howard 45.6% Norfolk St wins by 2
2/26 NC Central 36.2% Savannah St 63.8% Savannah St wins by 5
2/26 Coppin St 18.4% Morgan St 81.6% Morgan St wins by 9
2/26 Delaware St 29% MD E Shore 71% MD E Shore wins by 7
2/26 S Carolina St 39.9% Florida A&M 60.1% Florida A&M wins by 4
2/26 NC A&T 39.5% Bethune-Cookman 60.5% Bethune-Cookman wins by 4
3/1 Hampton 51.1% Norfolk St 48.9% Hampton wins by 1
3/1 Savannah St 59.5% S Carolina St 40.5% Savannah St wins by 4
3/1 Howard 48.9% Coppin St 51.1% Coppin St wins by 1
3/1 Morgan St 66% Delaware St 34% Morgan St wins by 5
3/1 Bethune-Cookman 62.8% Florida A&M 37.2% Bethune-Cookman wins by 5
3/1 NC A&T 48.5% NC Central 51.5% NC Central wins by 1

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC