These are the latest Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MEAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
MEAC Projected Standings
| Rank | Team | All Games | Conference Games | Actual | Projected | Actual | Projected | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses | ||
| 1 | Norfolk St | 16 | 11 | 19.2 | 11.8 | 11 | 1 | 14.2 | 1.8 |
| 2 | NC A&T | 14 | 12 | 16.9 | 13.1 | 9 | 3 | 11.9 | 4.1 |
| 3 | NC Central | 13 | 14 | 14.9 | 15.1 | 8 | 5 | 9.9 | 6.1 |
| 4 | Florida A&M | 11 | 17 | 12.3 | 18.7 | 8 | 5 | 9.3 | 6.7 |
| 5 | Bethune-Cookman | 12 | 15 | 13.9 | 16.1 | 7 | 6 | 8.9 | 7.1 |
| 6 | Savannah St | 10 | 16 | 11.4 | 18.6 | 7 | 5 | 8.4 | 7.6 |
| 7 | Coppin St | 6 | 21 | 7.7 | 23.3 | 6 | 6 | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| 8 | Howard | 12 | 15 | 13.7 | 17.3 | 6 | 6 | 7.7 | 8.3 |
| 9 | S Carolina St | 7 | 21 | 8.1 | 23.9 | 5 | 7 | 6.1 | 9.9 |
| 10 | Morgan St | 8 | 16 | 10.7 | 18.3 | 3 | 8 | 5.7 | 10.3 |
| 11 | MD E Shore | 4 | 24 | 5.3 | 25.7 | 2 | 11 | 3.3 | 12.7 |
| 12 | Delaware St | 4 | 20 | 5.8 | 23.2 | 1 | 10 | 2.8 | 13.2 |
Projected MEAC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
| Team | Seed | Bracket Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Norfolk St | 16 | -3.616 |
Projected MEAC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference standings.
| Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | Top 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norfolk St | 96% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| NC A&T | 4% | 89% | 2% | 3% | 100% |
| NC Central | 0% | 6% | 54% | 20% | 100% |
| Florida A&M | 0% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 100% |
| Bethune-Cookman | 0% | 0% | 7% | 27% | 100% |
| Savannah St | 0% | 0% | 9% | 14% | 96% |
| Coppin St | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 86% |
| Howard | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 85% |
| S Carolina St | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 15% |
| Morgan St | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| MD E Shore | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Delaware St | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
MEAC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The MEAC Men’s Basketball Tournament features twelve teams after the loss of Hampton in 2018. The tournament is played on a neutral site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Norfolk Scope Arena (Norfolk, VA)
First Round: March 11th and 12th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 13th and 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019
| Seed | Team | To Advance To | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qtrs | Semis | Finals | To Win | ||
MEAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
| Date | Away Team | Away Prob to Win | Home Team | Home Prob to Win | Game Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/23 | Norfolk St | 63.4% | Morgan St | 36.6% | Norfolk St wins by 5 |
| 2/23 | MD E Shore | 36.2% | Delaware St | 63.8% | Delaware St wins by 5 |
| 2/23 | Bethune-Cookman | 42.7% | Florida A&M | 57.3% | Florida A&M wins by 3 |
| 2/23 | Howard | 54.4% | Coppin St | 45.6% | Howard wins by 2 |
| 2/23 | S Carolina St | 16.7% | NC A&T | 83.3% | NC A&T wins by 10 |
| 2/23 | Savannah St | 24.7% | NC Central | 75.3% | NC Central wins by 8 |
| 2/25 | Delaware St | 17.9% | Coppin St | 82.1% | Coppin St wins by 10 |
| 2/25 | Howard | 48.5% | Morgan St | 51.5% | Morgan St wins by 1 |
| 2/25 | S Carolina St | 18.4% | NC Central | 81.6% | NC Central wins by 9 |
| 2/25 | Savannah St | 20.6% | NC A&T | 79.4% | NC A&T wins by 9 |
| 3/2 | Coppin St | 9.4% | Norfolk St | 90.6% | Norfolk St wins by 13 |
| 3/2 | Morgan St | 59.8% | Delaware St | 40.2% | Morgan St wins by 4 |
| 3/2 | S Carolina St | 16.5% | Bethune-Cookman | 83.5% | Bethune-Cookman wins by 10 |
| 3/2 | Florida A&M | 35.9% | NC A&T | 64.1% | NC A&T wins by 5 |
| 3/2 | Howard | 47.1% | Savannah St | 52.9% | Savannah St wins by 1 |
| 3/4 | Norfolk St | 81.8% | Delaware St | 18.2% | Norfolk St wins by 10 |
| 3/4 | Morgan St | 61.1% | MD E Shore | 38.9% | Morgan St wins by 4 |
| 3/7 | Coppin St | 34% | Morgan St | 66% | Morgan St wins by 5 |
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.