MEAC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MEAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/10/2018.

MEAC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Howard 5 3 19.6 11.4 0 0 13.1 4.9
2 Norfolk St 3 6 13.7 15.3 1 0 11 6
3 Morgan St 4 5 17 13 0 0 10.7 6.3
4 NC A&T 3 6 14.8 15.2 0 0 10.3 5.7
5 Florida A&M 3 8 12.6 18.4 0 0 9.3 6.7
6 Bethune-Cookman 4 7 14 16 0 0 9.1 6.9
7 NC Central 4 6 14.4 15.6 0 0 9 7
8 Savannah St 3 7 11.2 18.8 0 0 7.7 8.3
9 S Carolina St 2 9 9.1 22.9 0 0 6.5 9.5
10 MD E Shore 1 8 6.9 24.1 0 0 5.2 10.8
11 Coppin St 0 11 3.7 27.3 0 0 3.7 12.3
12 Delaware St 2 8 5.2 23.8 0 0 3.1 12.9
13 Hampton 2 7 9.8 18.2 0 1 0.3 1.7

Projected MEAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Howard 16 -1.811

Projected MEAC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Howard 55% 19% 13% 5% 100%
Norfolk St 14% 23% 17% 17% 98%
Morgan St 12% 24% 19% 14% 99%
NC A&T 6% 16% 22% 27% 100%
Florida A&M 6% 7% 9% 9% 90%
Bethune-Cookman 3% 2% 12% 10% 89%
NC Central 1% 7% 7% 9% 89%
Savannah St 2% 1% 0% 5% 70%
S Carolina St 1% 1% 1% 3% 47%
MD E Shore 0% 0% 0% 0% 12%
Coppin St 0% 0% 0% 0% 4%
Delaware St 0% 0% 0% 1% 2%
Hampton 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

MEAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The MEAC Men’s Basketball Tournament features thirteen teams and is played on a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Norfolk Scope Arena (Norfolk, VA)
First Round: March 11th and 12th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 13th and 148th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Coming Soon!

MEAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
12/22 Howard 65.4% Hampton 34.6% Howard wins by 5
1/5 Delaware St 3.6% Norfolk St 96.4% Norfolk St wins by 19
1/5 Bethune-Cookman 44.5% NC Central 55.5% NC Central wins by 2
1/5 MD E Shore 9.2% Morgan St 90.8% Morgan St wins by 13
1/5 Savannah St 68% Coppin St 32.1% Savannah St wins by 6
1/5 NC A&T 61.1% S Carolina St 38.9% NC A&T wins by 4
1/5 Florida A&M 20.1% Howard 79.9% Howard wins by 9
1/7 Coppin St 47.8% Delaware St 52.2% Delaware St wins by 1
1/7 Howard 80.9% MD E Shore 19.1% Howard wins by 9
1/7 Savannah St 18.4% Morgan St 81.6% Morgan St wins by 9
1/7 Florida A&M 38.2% Norfolk St 61.8% Norfolk St wins by 4
1/12 Norfolk St 80.9% Coppin St 19.1% Norfolk St wins by 9
1/12 NC Central 61.8% MD E Shore 38.2% NC Central wins by 4
1/12 NC A&T 84% Delaware St 16% NC A&T wins by 10
1/12 Bethune-Cookman 19.1% Howard 80.9% Howard wins by 9
1/12 S Carolina St 15% Morgan St 85% Morgan St wins by 11
1/12 Savannah St 20.6% Florida A&M 79.4% Florida A&M wins by 9
1/14 Bethune-Cookman 36.2% Norfolk St 63.8% Norfolk St wins by 5

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC