MEAC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MEAC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.

MEAC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Norfolk St 16 11 19.2 11.8 11 1 14.2 1.8
2 NC A&T 14 12 16.9 13.1 9 3 11.9 4.1
3 NC Central 13 14 14.9 15.1 8 5 9.9 6.1
4 Florida A&M 11 17 12.3 18.7 8 5 9.3 6.7
5 Bethune-Cookman 12 15 13.9 16.1 7 6 8.9 7.1
6 Savannah St 10 16 11.4 18.6 7 5 8.4 7.6
7 Coppin St 6 21 7.7 23.3 6 6 7.7 8.3
8 Howard 12 15 13.7 17.3 6 6 7.7 8.3
9 S Carolina St 7 21 8.1 23.9 5 7 6.1 9.9
10 Morgan St 8 16 10.7 18.3 3 8 5.7 10.3
11 MD E Shore 4 24 5.3 25.7 2 11 3.3 12.7
12 Delaware St 4 20 5.8 23.2 1 10 2.8 13.2

Projected MEAC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Norfolk St 16 -3.616

Projected MEAC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Norfolk St 96% 4% 0% 0% 100%
NC A&T 4% 89% 2% 3% 100%
NC Central 0% 6% 54% 20% 100%
Florida A&M 0% 1% 24% 28% 100%
Bethune-Cookman 0% 0% 7% 27% 100%
Savannah St 0% 0% 9% 14% 96%
Coppin St 0% 0% 1% 4% 86%
Howard 0% 0% 3% 3% 85%
S Carolina St 0% 0% 0% 1% 15%
Morgan St 0% 0% 0% 0% 18%
MD E Shore 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

MEAC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The MEAC Men’s Basketball Tournament features twelve teams after the loss of Hampton in 2018. The tournament is played on a neutral site.

Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Norfolk Scope Arena (Norfolk, VA)
First Round: March 11th and 12th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 13th and 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Norfolk St
100%
77.6%
53.3%
35.4%
2
NC A&T
99.2%
53.8%
24.7%
11.1%
3
NC Central
93.7%
57.1%
27.6%
13.6%
4
Florida A&M
92.3%
54%
28.5%
11.4%
5
Bethune-Cookman
84.9%
49.8%
26%
13.7%
6
Savannah St
79.1%
29.2%
10.1%
3.2%
7
Coppin St
52.3%
13.1%
3.3%
1.3%
8
Howard
65.7%
28.5%
12.6%
6.2%
9
S Carolina St
47.6%
12.2%
4.2%
1.1%
10
Morgan St
48%
18.5%
9%
2.8%
11
MD E Shore
18.3%
2.5%
0.3%
0%
12
Delaware St
18.9%
3.7%
0.4%
0.2%

MEAC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection
2/23 Norfolk St 63.4% Morgan St 36.6% Norfolk St wins by 5
2/23 MD E Shore 36.2% Delaware St 63.8% Delaware St wins by 5
2/23 Bethune-Cookman 42.7% Florida A&M 57.3% Florida A&M wins by 3
2/23 Howard 54.4% Coppin St 45.6% Howard wins by 2
2/23 S Carolina St 16.7% NC A&T 83.3% NC A&T wins by 10
2/23 Savannah St 24.7% NC Central 75.3% NC Central wins by 8
2/25 Delaware St 17.9% Coppin St 82.1% Coppin St wins by 10
2/25 Howard 48.5% Morgan St 51.5% Morgan St wins by 1
2/25 S Carolina St 18.4% NC Central 81.6% NC Central wins by 9
2/25 Savannah St 20.6% NC A&T 79.4% NC A&T wins by 9
3/2 Coppin St 9.4% Norfolk St 90.6% Norfolk St wins by 13
3/2 Morgan St 59.8% Delaware St 40.2% Morgan St wins by 4
3/2 S Carolina St 16.5% Bethune-Cookman 83.5% Bethune-Cookman wins by 10
3/2 Florida A&M 35.9% NC A&T 64.1% NC A&T wins by 5
3/2 Howard 47.1% Savannah St 52.9% Savannah St wins by 1
3/4 Norfolk St 81.8% Delaware St 18.2% Norfolk St wins by 10
3/4 Morgan St 61.1% MD E Shore 38.9% Morgan St wins by 4
3/7 Coppin St 34% Morgan St 66% Morgan St wins by 5

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC