Mercer Bears Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Mercer Bears. All of these projections for Mercer are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Mercer Record and Rankings

Record: 11-20
Projected Final Record: 11.0-20.0

Southern Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final Southern Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southern: 6

Mercer Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 214
RPI Rank: 253
NET Rank: 216
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-8 0-5 1-3 8-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.250 0.667

Our current projections give the Mercer Bears a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Mercer’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Mercer Bears. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Mercer Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 139 UAB Away L 67-75
11/9 No Rank Piedmont Home W 105-52
11/13 93 Georgia St Away L 60-62
11/16 283 TN Martin Home W 77-60
11/20 352 MD E Shore Home W 80-42
11/24 33 NC State Away L 74-78
11/27 No Rank Brewton-Parker Home W 90-65
12/1 254 Citadel Away L 69-79
12/5 177 FL Atlantic Away L 64-68
12/8 118 Ga Southern Home L 74-89
12/18 29 Florida Away L 63-71
12/21 273 UNC Wilmington Home W 77-73
12/29 101 Harvard Neutral L 67-71
1/3 59 Furman Away L 58-71
1/5 14 Wofford Away L 74-78
1/10 289 W Carolina Home W 84-80
1/12 71 ETSU Home L 68-72
1/17 252 Chattanooga Away L 70-73
1/19 166 Samford Away W 93-87
1/24 275 VMI Home W 88-68
1/26 51 UNC Greensboro Away L 81-88
1/31 14 Wofford Home L 67-76
2/2 59 Furman Home L 63-74
2/9 254 Citadel Home L 61-67
2/14 289 W Carolina Away W 74-65
2/16 71 ETSU Away L 69-88
2/21 166 Samford Home W 65-62
2/23 252 Chattanooga Home W 74-69
2/28 275 VMI Away L 71-84
3/2 51 UNC Greensboro Home L 47-74
3/9 59 Furman Neutral L 74-85