Miami Hurricanes Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Miami Hurricanes. All of these projections for Miami FL are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Miami FL Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 18.0-10.0

ACC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final ACC Record: 9.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 9

Miami FL Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 23
RPI Rank: 13
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 4 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Miami Hurricanes a 87.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 6.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 6.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Miami FL’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 3.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 8.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 10.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 21.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 15.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 10.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 9.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 4.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Miami Hurricanes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Miami FL Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 126 Lehigh Home W 83-62
11/13 125 SF Austin Home 91.1%
11/17 298 Bethune-Cookman Home 98.8%
11/22 209 La Salle Neutal 89.3%
11/28 65 Rutgers Home 78.7%
12/1 150 Yale Home 92.6%
12/4 100 Penn Away 62.8%
12/19 339 Houston Bap Home 99.3%
12/22 180 FL Atlantic Home 93.8%
12/29 237 Campbell Home 98.5%
1/3 25 NC State Home 62.1%
1/6 38 Louisville Away 43.9%
1/9 10 Florida St Away 20.1%
1/12 103 Wake Forest Home 86.6%
1/19 5 North Carolina Home 41.5%
1/24 26 Syracuse Away 38.2%
1/27 10 Florida St Home 47.8%
1/30 22 Virginia Tech Home 59.2%
2/2 4 Virginia Away 14.1%
2/6 41 Notre Dame Home 71%
2/9 5 North Carolina Away 14.8%
2/13 21 Clemson Home 61.8%
2/17 69 Boston College Away 55.1%
2/23 96 Georgia Tech Home 86.1%
2/26 103 Wake Forest Away 60.8%
3/2 1 Duke Away 7%
3/5 177 Pittsburgh Home 93.4%
3/8 22 Virginia Tech Away 35.1%