Miami Hurricanes Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Miami Hurricanes. All of these projections for Miami FL are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Miami FL Record and Rankings

Record: 14-18
Projected Final Record: 14.0-18.0

ACC Conference Record: 5-13
Projected Final ACC Record: 5.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the ACC: 12

Miami FL Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 84
RPI Rank: 130
NET Rank: 93
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-13 1-1 4-4 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the Miami Hurricanes a 1.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 19.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 79.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Miami FL’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 1.6%
NIT #5 Seed 4.6%
NIT #6 Seed 8.8%
NIT #7 Seed 2.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Miami Hurricanes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Miami FL Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 159 Lehigh Home W 83-62
11/13 298 SF Austin Home W 96-58
11/17 317 Bethune-Cookman Home W 78-70
11/22 221 La Salle Neutal W 85-49
11/23 86 Fresno St Neutal W 78-76
11/25 41 Seton Hall Neutral L 81-83
11/28 82 Rutgers Home L 54-57
12/1 83 Yale Neutral L 73-77
12/4 126 Penn Away L 75-89
12/19 286 Houston Bap Home W 80-73
12/22 177 FL Atlantic Home W 75-55
12/29 185 Campbell Home W 73-62
1/3 33 NC State Home L 82-87
1/6 25 Louisville Away L 73-90
1/9 10 Florida St Away L 62-68
1/12 151 Wake Forest Home W 76-65
1/19 4 North Carolina Home L 76-85
1/24 36 Syracuse Away L 53-73
1/27 10 Florida St Home L 66-78
1/30 17 Virginia Tech Home L 70-82
2/2 1 Virginia Away L 46-56
2/6 103 Notre Dame Home W 62-47
2/9 4 North Carolina Away L 85-88
2/13 31 Clemson Home W 65-64
2/17 119 Boston College Away L 57-64
2/23 99 Georgia Tech Home W 80-65
2/26 151 Wake Forest Away L 75-76
3/2 2 Duke Away L 57-87
3/5 121 Pittsburgh Home W 76-63
3/8 17 Virginia Tech Away L 70-84
3/12 151 Wake Forest Neutal W 79-71
3/13 17 Virginia Tech Neutral L 56-71