Miami RedHawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Miami RedHawks. All of these projections for Miami OH are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Miami OH Record and Rankings

Record: 15-17
Projected Final Record: 15.0-17.0

MAC Conference Record: 7-11
Projected Final MAC Record: 7.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAC: 9

Miami OH Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 154
RPI Rank: 151
NET Rank: 146
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-3 1-6 6-6 5-2
Win % by Tier 0.250 0.143 0.500 0.714

Our current projections give the Miami RedHawks a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Miami OH’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Miami RedHawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Miami OH Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 72 Butler Away L 68-90
11/12 No Rank Midway Home W 91-42
11/16 205 N Dakota St Neutal W 89-78
11/17 136 Montana Neutral L 71-73
11/18 167 Pepperdine Neutral L 80-86
11/24 251 Army Home W 85-55
11/28 60 Xavier Away L 55-82
12/1 No Rank Wilberforce Home W 88-57
12/5 138 Wright St Away W 65-62
12/8 218 PFW Home W 85-79
12/16 113 N Kentucky Away L 66-72
12/20 342 S Carolina St Home W 79-55
12/30 236 Evansville Home W 70-67
1/5 117 C Michigan Home L 77-84
1/8 143 N Illinois Home L 70-83
1/12 18 Buffalo Away L 64-88
1/15 64 Toledo Away L 59-71
1/19 132 Akron Home W 68-61
1/22 149 Ball St Away W 71-65
1/26 104 Bowling Green Home W 67-53
1/29 64 Toledo Home L 63-66
2/2 155 E Michigan Away W 59-48
2/5 112 Kent Away L 67-70
2/9 171 Ohio Home W 79-59
2/16 282 W Michigan Away L 79-84
2/19 149 Ball St Home W 69-66
2/23 132 Akron Away L 58-70
2/26 104 Bowling Green Away W 82-69
3/1 18 Buffalo Home L 69-77
3/5 112 Kent Home L 66-75
3/8 171 Ohio Away L 57-66
3/11 132 Akron Away L 51-80