Mississippi State Bulldogs Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Mississippi State Bulldogs. All of these projections for Mississippi St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Mississippi St Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 20.0-10.0

SEC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final SEC Record: 9.9-8.1
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 5

Mississippi St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 32
RPI Rank: 134
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 8 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Mississippi State Bulldogs a 64.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 28.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 6.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Mississippi St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 5.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 7.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 11.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 13.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 18.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 20.6%
NIT #2 Seed 4.0%
NIT #3 Seed 1.6%
NIT #4 Seed 2.2%
NIT #5 Seed 0.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Mississippi State Bulldogs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Mississippi St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 249 Austin Peay Home W 95-67
11/11 307 Hartford Home W 77-59
11/16 206 Long Beach St Home 93.8%
11/19 56 Arizona St Neutal 56.5%
11/26 322 Alcorn St Home 98.7%
11/30 179 Dayton Away 79.7%
12/4 317 McNeese St Home 98.8%
12/8 21 Clemson Neutal 46.2%
12/15 52 Cincinnati Home 78.2%
12/19 120 Wofford Home 85.4%
12/22 135 Wright St Neutral 83.7%
12/29 93 BYU Home 84.5%
1/8 112 South Carolina Away 59.8%
1/12 91 Mississippi Home 81.1%
1/15 48 Florida Home 70.3%
1/19 30 Vanderbilt Away 35.5%
1/22 11 Kentucky Away 16.2%
1/26 19 Auburn Home 53.7%
1/29 57 Alabama Away 49.3%
2/2 91 Mississippi Away 56.5%
2/6 51 LSU Home 72.8%
2/9 11 Kentucky Home 40.5%
2/12 57 Alabama Home 73.3%
2/16 58 Arkansas Away 47.1%
2/20 49 Georgia Away 44.5%
2/23 112 South Carolina Home 84.2%
2/26 89 Missouri Home 82.6%
3/2 19 Auburn Away 30.5%
3/5 7 Tennessee Away 14.8%
3/9 70 Texas A&M Home 78.7%