Missouri Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Missouri Tigers. All of these projections for Missouri are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Missouri Record and Rankings

Record: 9-6
Projected Final Record: 14.3-15.7

SEC Conference Record: 0-3
Projected Final SEC Record: 5.3-12.7
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 13

Missouri Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 87
RPI Rank: 99
NET Rank: 93
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 3-2 1-0 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.600 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Missouri Tigers a 7.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 10.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 82.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Missouri’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 3.0%
NIT #4 Seed 2.2%
NIT #5 Seed 1.8%
NIT #6 Seed 1.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Missouri Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Missouri Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 245 Cent Arkansas Home W 68-55
11/9 18 Iowa St Away L 59-76
11/16 344 Kennesaw Neutal W 55-52
11/18 57 Oregon St Neutal W 69-63
11/19 32 Kansas St Neutral L 67-82
11/27 40 Temple Home L 77-79
12/2 48 UCF Home W 64-62
12/4 233 UT Arlington Home W 65-45
12/7 276 Oral Roberts Home W 80-64
12/18 76 Xavier Home W 71-56
12/22 123 Illinois Neutal W 79-63
12/29 259 Morehead St Home W 75-61
1/8 3 Tennessee Home L 63-87
1/13 90 South Carolina Away L 75-85
1/16 50 Alabama Home L 60-70
1/19 98 Texas A&M Away 41.8%
1/23 65 Arkansas Away 30.1%
1/26 21 LSU Home 37.2%
1/30 16 Auburn Away 10.6%
2/2 106 Vanderbilt Home 64.1%
2/5 3 Tennessee Away 6.3%
2/9 98 Texas A&M Home 63.8%
2/12 65 Arkansas Home 55.1%
2/16 28 Mississippi Away 15.5%
2/19 12 Kentucky Home 32.1%
2/23 46 Florida Away 19.1%
2/26 29 Mississippi St Away 15.5%
3/2 90 South Carolina Home 61.8%
3/6 84 Georgia Away 37.2%
3/9 28 Mississippi Home 41.2%