Missouri Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Missouri Tigers. All of these projections for Missouri are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Missouri Record and Rankings

Record: 15-17
Projected Final Record: 15.0-17.0

SEC Conference Record: 5-13
Projected Final SEC Record: 5.0-13.0
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 12

Missouri Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 73
RPI Rank: 128
NET Rank: 77
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-11 1-5 8-1 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.083 0.167 0.889 1.000

Our current projections give the Missouri Tigers a 1.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 29.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 68.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Missouri’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 4.2%
NIT #4 Seed 5.2%
NIT #5 Seed 6.8%
NIT #6 Seed 8.0%
NIT #7 Seed 4.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Missouri Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Missouri Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 287 Cent Arkansas Home W 68-55
11/9 23 Iowa St Away L 59-76
11/16 335 Kennesaw Neutal W 55-52
11/18 91 Oregon St Neutal W 69-63
11/19 20 Kansas St Neutral L 67-82
11/27 56 Temple Home L 77-79
12/2 35 UCF Home W 64-62
12/4 147 UT Arlington Home W 65-45
12/7 292 Oral Roberts Home W 80-64
12/18 60 Xavier Home W 71-56
12/22 89 Illinois Neutal W 79-63
12/29 255 Morehead St Home W 75-61
1/8 3 Tennessee Home L 63-87
1/13 65 South Carolina Away L 75-85
1/16 54 Alabama Home L 60-70
1/19 78 Texas A&M Away W 66-43
1/23 63 Arkansas Away L 60-72
1/26 13 LSU Home L 80-86
1/30 16 Auburn Away L 58-92
2/2 161 Vanderbilt Home W 77-67
2/5 3 Tennessee Away L 60-72
2/9 78 Texas A&M Home L 59-68
2/12 63 Arkansas Home W 79-78
2/16 38 Mississippi Away L 65-75
2/19 5 Kentucky Home L 58-66
2/23 29 Florida Away L 60-64
2/26 21 Mississippi St Away L 49-68
3/2 65 South Carolina Home W 78-63
3/6 124 Georgia Away W 64-39
3/9 38 Mississippi Home L 68-73
3/13 124 Georgia Neutal W 71-61
3/14 16 Auburn Neutral L 71-81