Monmouth Hawks Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Monmouth Hawks. All of these projections for Monmouth NJ are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Monmouth NJ Record and Rankings

Record: 4-14
Projected Final Record: 10.0-21.0

MAAC Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final MAAC Record: 9.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 6

Monmouth NJ Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 281
RPI Rank: 284
NET Rank: 293
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 1-7 3-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.125 0.429

Our current projections give the Monmouth Hawks a 5.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 94.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Monmouth NJ’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 5.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Monmouth Hawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Monmouth NJ Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 144 Lehigh Home L 61-85
11/9 178 Colgate Away L 74-87
11/12 164 St Joseph’s PA Away L 63-78
11/15 93 West Virginia Neutral L 53-71
11/16 175 Valparaiso Neutral L 53-64
11/18 254 CS Fullerton Neutral L 63-87
11/24 149 Princeton Home L 57-60
11/28 12 Kentucky Away L 44-90
12/1 150 Bucknell Away L 43-65
12/5 70 Hofstra Away L 73-75
12/8 304 Albany NY Away L 63-82
12/20 88 Yale Home L 58-66
12/31 136 Penn Away W 76-74
1/3 238 Iona Away L 84-103
1/5 299 St Peter’s Home W 61-44
1/10 224 Quinnipiac Away L 83-89
1/12 339 Manhattan Home W 65-49
1/14 270 Siena Away W 63-60
1/17 267 Fairfield Home 56.7%
1/20 238 Iona Home 51.1%
1/24 266 Canisius Away 35.5%
1/26 290 Niagara Away 40.9%
1/31 270 Siena Home 57.8%
2/2 170 Rider Home 39.2%
2/7 299 St Peter’s Away 41.8%
2/9 267 Fairfield Away 34.4%
2/15 170 Rider Away 15.3%
2/17 286 Marist Home 60.5%
2/22 266 Canisius Home 57.8%
2/24 224 Quinnipiac Home 51.5%
3/1 339 Manhattan Away 56.7%