Montana State Bobcats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Montana State Bobcats. All of these projections for Montana St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Montana St Record and Rankings

Record: 15-17
Projected Final Record: 15.0-17.0

Big Sky Conference Record: 11-9
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 11.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 6

Montana St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 250
RPI Rank: 241
NET Rank: 245
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-4 2-7 12-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.222 0.706

Our current projections give the Montana State Bobcats a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Montana St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Montana State Bobcats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Montana St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 30 Utah St Home L 71-101
11/9 45 Indiana Away L 35-80
11/11 No Rank Presentation Home W 83-68
11/14 213 Colorado St Away L 77-81
11/17 176 UC Santa Barbara Away L 69-88
11/21 63 Arkansas Away L 68-90
11/24 168 NE Omaha Away L 65-89
11/27 296 North Dakota Home W 81-76
12/9 200 Washington St Neutal W 95-90
12/18 324 Denver Away L 64-76
12/29 266 Southern Utah Away W 92-62
12/31 304 Northern Arizona Away L 68-74
1/3 264 Portland St Home W 98-88
1/5 278 CS Sacramento Home W 84-70
1/10 345 Idaho Away W 77-67
1/14 194 N Colorado Home L 70-73
1/19 233 E Washington Away L 81-85
1/24 217 Weber St Home L 84-93
1/26 318 Idaho St Home W 104-84
2/2 136 Montana Home L 78-83
2/4 194 N Colorado Away W 69-66
2/7 233 E Washington Home W 74-66
2/9 345 Idaho Home W 86-72
2/14 318 Idaho St Away W 84-76
2/16 217 Weber St Away L 82-94
2/23 136 Montana Away L 83-89
3/2 304 Northern Arizona Home W 84-73
3/4 266 Southern Utah Home W 90-83
3/7 278 CS Sacramento Away L 67-70
3/9 264 Portland St Away L 80-84
3/13 345 Idaho Neutal W 75-71
3/14 233 E Washington Neutral L 84-90