Morehead State Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Morehead State Eagles. All of these projections for Morehead St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Morehead St Record and Rankings

Record: 13-20
Projected Final Record: 13.0-20.0

OVC Conference Record: 8-10
Projected Final OVC Record: 8.0-10.0
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 5

Morehead St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 255
RPI Rank: 224
NET Rank: 267
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-7 1-8 10-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.111 0.833

Our current projections give the Morehead State Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Morehead St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Morehead State Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Morehead St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Kentucky Chr Home W 102-82
11/8 106 Connecticut Away L 70-80
11/10 36 Syracuse Away L 70-84
11/16 246 Missouri KC Neutal W 99-89
11/17 198 WI Green Bay Neutral L 70-87
11/25 67 Lipscomb Home L 55-87
11/27 113 N Kentucky Home L 71-93
11/30 No Rank OH Chillicothe Home W 103-50
12/10 142 Marshall Away L 64-76
12/13 166 Samford Away L 72-77
12/18 138 Wright St Away L 67-78
12/21 216 IUPUI Home W 74-70
12/29 73 Missouri Away L 61-75
1/3 50 Murray St Away L 69-90
1/5 131 Austin Peay Away L 67-81
1/10 55 Belmont Away L 60-77
1/12 314 Tennessee St Away W 74-61
1/17 312 SE Missouri St Home W 73-69
1/19 283 TN Martin Home W 85-77
1/24 328 Tennessee Tech Home W 67-61
1/26 115 Jacksonville St Home L 71-77
1/31 323 SIUE Away L 76-83
2/2 294 E Illinois Away W 84-78
2/7 314 Tennessee St Home L 80-81
2/9 55 Belmont Home L 86-96
2/14 256 E Kentucky Home W 78-72
2/16 131 Austin Peay Home L 70-73
2/21 115 Jacksonville St Away L 64-65
2/23 328 Tennessee Tech Away W 66-63
2/28 50 Murray St Home L 52-71
3/2 256 E Kentucky Away W 78-77
3/6 323 SIUE Neutal W 72-68
3/7 131 Austin Peay Neutral L 81-95