Morehead State Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Morehead State Eagles. All of these projections for Morehead St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Morehead St Record and Rankings

Record: 7-12
Projected Final Record: 12.3-18.7

OVC Conference Record: 3-3
Projected Final OVC Record: 8.3-9.7
Projected Final Rank in the OVC: 6

Morehead St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 250
RPI Rank: 217
NET Rank: 253
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-4 0-5 5-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Morehead State Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Morehead St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Morehead State Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Morehead St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Kentucky Chr Home W 102-82
11/8 95 Connecticut Away L 70-80
11/10 41 Syracuse Away L 70-84
11/16 244 Missouri KC Neutal W 99-89
11/17 205 WI Green Bay Neutral L 70-87
11/25 50 Lipscomb Home L 55-87
11/27 102 N Kentucky Home L 71-93
11/30 No Rank OH Chillicothe Home W 103-50
12/10 99 Marshall Away L 64-76
12/13 174 Samford Away L 72-77
12/18 161 Wright St Away L 67-78
12/21 193 IUPUI Home W 74-70
12/29 71 Missouri Away L 61-75
1/3 47 Murray St Away L 69-90
1/5 134 Austin Peay Away L 67-81
1/10 85 Belmont Away L 60-77
1/12 321 Tennessee St Away W 74-61
1/17 319 SE Missouri St Home W 73-69
1/19 332 TN Martin Home W 85-77
1/24 335 Tennessee Tech Home 85.2%
1/26 103 Jacksonville St Home 26.6%
1/31 327 SIUE Away 58.5%
2/2 222 E Illinois Away 37.6%
2/7 321 Tennessee St Home 81.1%
2/9 85 Belmont Home 22.8%
2/14 225 E Kentucky Home 57.3%
2/16 134 Austin Peay Home 36.6%
2/21 103 Jacksonville St Away 9.2%
2/23 335 Tennessee Tech Away 60.8%
2/28 47 Murray St Home 17.4%
3/2 225 E Kentucky Away 36.2%