Morgan State Bears Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Morgan State Bears. All of these projections for Morgan St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Morgan St Record and Rankings

Record: 9-21
Projected Final Record: 9.0-21.0

MEAC Conference Record: 4-12
Projected Final MEAC Record: 4.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the MEAC: 11

Morgan St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 343
RPI Rank: 342
NET Rank: 333
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-0 0-4 8-13
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.381

Our current projections give the Morgan State Bears a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Morgan St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Morgan State Bears. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Morgan St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 22 Villanova Away L 77-100
11/9 242 St Francis PA Away L 60-80
11/12 92 DePaul Away L 63-91
11/20 247 Navy Home W 75-51
11/25 325 Mt St Mary’s Home W 78-68
11/28 150 George Mason Away L 75-82
12/3 1 Virginia Away L 45-83
12/5 321 Binghamton Home W 74-68
12/8 284 Towson Neutal W 74-69
12/17 No Rank Wilmington DE Home W 85-78
12/22 87 Old Dominion Away L 53-76
12/29 269 CS Northridge Away L 86-94
1/3 No Rank Lincoln PA Home L 75-77
1/5 352 MD E Shore Home W 66-53
1/7 337 Savannah St Home L 87-88
1/12 342 S Carolina St Home L 68-72
1/15 301 Howard Away W 89-86
1/19 290 NC A&T Away L 53-57
1/21 305 NC Central Away L 64-92
1/26 317 Bethune-Cookman Home W 77-71
1/28 326 Florida A&M Home L 66-72
2/2 340 Coppin St Away L 71-73
2/9 342 S Carolina St Away L 81-85
2/11 337 Savannah St Away L 85-88
2/23 258 Norfolk St Home L 74-75
2/25 301 Howard Home L 69-75
3/2 353 Delaware St Away W 76-58
3/4 352 MD E Shore Away L 73-78
3/7 340 Coppin St Home L 69-83
3/12 340 Coppin St Neutral L 71-81