Morgan State Bears Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Morgan State Bears. All of these projections for Morgan St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Morgan St Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 12.8-16.2

MEAC Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final MEAC Record: 7.8-8.2
Projected Final Rank in the MEAC: 6

Morgan St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 325
RPI Rank: 302
NET Rank: 322
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 0-4 6-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.667

Our current projections give the Morgan State Bears a 6.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 93.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Morgan St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 6.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Morgan State Bears. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Morgan St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 25 Villanova Away L 77-100
11/9 243 St Francis PA Away L 60-80
11/12 88 DePaul Away L 63-91
11/20 277 Navy Home W 75-51
11/25 324 Mt St Mary’s Home W 78-68
11/28 137 George Mason Away L 75-82
12/3 1 Virginia Away L 45-83
12/5 336 Binghamton Home W 74-68
12/8 298 Towson Neutal W 74-69
12/17 No Rank Wilmington DE Home W 85-78
12/22 92 Old Dominion Away L 53-76
12/29 279 CS Northridge Away L 86-94
1/3 No Rank Lincoln PA Home L 75-77
1/5 351 MD E Shore Home W 66-53
1/7 341 Savannah St Home L 87-88
1/12 340 S Carolina St Home L 68-72
1/19 256 NC A&T Away L 53-57
1/21 329 NC Central Away 42.2%
1/26 312 Bethune-Cookman Home 56.7%
1/28 334 Florida A&M Home 65.6%
2/2 344 Coppin St Away 56.9%
2/4 322 Howard Away 39.9%
2/9 340 S Carolina St Away 48.5%
2/11 341 Savannah St Away 55.7%
2/23 259 Norfolk St Home 43.9%
2/25 322 Howard Home 61.8%
3/2 350 Delaware St Away 62.8%
3/4 351 MD E Shore Away 62.5%
3/7 344 Coppin St Home 80.6%