These are the latest Mountain West Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Mountain West are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Mountain West Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|4||San Diego St||17||9||19.3||11.7||9||4||11.3||6.7|
|11||San Jose St||3||22||3.7||26.3||0||13||0.7||17.3|
Projected Mountain West Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mountain West Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|Utah St||Last 4 Out||4.294|
Projected Mountain West Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Mountain West Conference standings.
|San Diego St||0%||7%||17%||37%||100%|
|San Jose St||0%||0%||0%||0%||0%|
Mountain West Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Mountain West Conference Basketball Tournament will be held on the campus of UNLV. In 2020, the tournament will be held one week earlier than the 2019 edition.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Thomas & Mack Center (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
Mountain West Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/23||San Jose St||8%||Air Force||92%||Air Force wins by 14|
|2/23||Utah St||66.4%||Boise St||33.6%||Utah St wins by 6|
|2/23||Wyoming||14.8%||Colorado St||85.2%||Colorado St wins by 11|
|2/23||San Diego St||50.4%||UNLV||49.6%||San Diego St wins by 1|
|2/23||Fresno St||12.7%||Nevada||87.3%||Nevada wins by 12|
|2/26||San Diego St||16.5%||Utah St||83.5%||Utah St wins by 10|
|2/27||Colorado St||25.7%||Boise St||74.3%||Boise St wins by 7|
|2/27||Wyoming||6.3%||Fresno St||93.8%||Fresno St wins by 17|
|2/27||UNLV||7%||Nevada||93%||Nevada wins by 16|
|2/27||New Mexico||80.2%||San Jose St||19.8%||New Mexico wins by 9|
|3/2||Air Force||58.2%||Wyoming||41.8%||Air Force wins by 3|
|3/2||Boise St||36.2%||UNLV||63.8%||UNLV wins by 5|
|3/2||San Jose St||1.5%||San Diego St||98.5%||San Diego St wins by 21|
|3/2||Nevada||54.8%||Utah St||45.2%||Nevada wins by 2|
|3/2||Colorado St||32.1%||New Mexico||68%||New Mexico wins by 6|
|3/5||Utah St||75.7%||Colorado St||24.3%||Utah St wins by 8|
|3/5||Nevada||88.1%||Air Force||11.9%||Nevada wins by 12|
|3/6||Fresno St||43.9%||San Diego St||56.1%||San Diego St wins by 2|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|