Mountain West Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Mountain West Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Mountain West are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Mountain West Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Nevada 27 7 27 7 16 4 16 4
2 Boise St 23 8 23 8 13 6 13 6
3 New Mexico 19 15 19 15 14 7 14 7
4 Fresno St 21 11 21 11 11 8 11 8
5 San Diego St 22 10 22 10 14 7 14 7
6 Wyoming 20 13 20 13 11 9 11 9
7 Utah St 17 17 17 17 10 11 10 11
8 UNLV 20 13 20 13 9 11 9 11
9 Air Force 12 19 12 19 6 13 6 13
10 Colorado St 11 21 11 21 4 15 4 15
11 San Jose St 3 26 3 26 1 18 1 18

Projected Mountain West Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Mountain West Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Nevada 8 6.804
San Diego St 12 4.628

Mountain West Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Mountain West Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Mountain West team. The Mountain West Conference Basketball Tournament will be held on the campus of UNLV.

Regular Season Champion: Nevada
Tournament Site: Thomas & Mack Center (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Nevada
100%
100%
0%
0%
2
Boise St
100%
0%
0%
0%
3
New Mexico
100%
100%
100%
0%
4
Fresno St
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
San Diego St
100%
100%
100%
100%
6
Wyoming
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Utah St
100%
100%
0%
0%
8
UNLV
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Air Force
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Colorado St
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
San Jose St
0%
0%
0%
0%

Mountain West Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC