These are the latest Missouri Valley Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MVC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.
MVC Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected MVC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Missouri Valley Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
MVC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each MVC team. The Missouri Valley Conference Tournament has ten teams and is played on a neutral site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Scottrade Center (St. Louis, MO)
First Round: March 1st, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 2nd, 2018
Semifinals: March 3rd, 2018
Finals: March 4th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
MVC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Evansville||39.5%||Indiana St||60.5%||Indiana St wins by 4|
|2/21||Drake||39.2%||Illinois St||60.8%||Illinois St wins by 4|
|2/21||Loyola-Chicago||57.8%||S Illinois||42.2%||Loyola-Chicago wins by 3|
|2/21||Bradley||30.9%||Missouri St||69.1%||Missouri St wins by 6|
|2/24||Indiana St||36.9%||Bradley||63.1%||Bradley wins by 5|
|2/24||Valparaiso||41.8%||Drake||58.2%||Drake wins by 3|
|2/24||S Illinois||47.1%||Evansville||52.9%||Evansville wins by 1|
|2/24||Illinois St||15%||Loyola-Chicago||85%||Loyola-Chicago wins by 11|
|2/24||Missouri St||47.8%||Northern Iowa||52.2%||Northern Iowa wins by 1|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|