These are the latest Missouri Valley Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the MVC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
MVC Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected MVC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Missouri Valley Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected MVC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Missouri Valley Conference standings.
MVC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Missouri Valley Conference Tournament has ten teams and is played on a neutral site.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Scottrade Center (St. Louis, MO)
First Round: March 7th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2019
Semifinals: March 9th, 2019
Finals: March 10th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
MVC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/23||Evansville||23.3%||Bradley||76.7%||Bradley wins by 8|
|2/23||Indiana St||34.4%||Missouri St||65.6%||Missouri St wins by 5|
|2/23||Valparaiso||35.1%||Northern Iowa||64.9%||Northern Iowa wins by 5|
|2/24||Drake||56.9%||Illinois St||43.1%||Drake wins by 3|
|2/24||Loyola-Chicago||48.5%||S Illinois||51.5%||S Illinois wins by 1|
|2/27||Indiana St||20.3%||Drake||79.7%||Drake wins by 9|
|2/27||S Illinois||57.5%||Evansville||42.5%||S Illinois wins by 3|
|2/27||Missouri St||44.5%||Illinois St||55.5%||Illinois St wins by 2|
|2/27||Loyola-Chicago||54.8%||Northern Iowa||45.2%||Loyola-Chicago wins by 2|
|2/27||Valparaiso||34%||Bradley||66%||Bradley wins by 5|
|3/2||Bradley||25.7%||Loyola-Chicago||74.3%||Loyola-Chicago wins by 7|
|3/2||Drake||51.8%||Missouri St||48.2%||Drake wins by 1|
|3/2||Illinois St||30.9%||S Illinois||69.1%||S Illinois wins by 6|
|3/2||Northern Iowa||43.3%||Indiana St||56.7%||Indiana St wins by 3|
|3/2||Evansville||32.1%||Valparaiso||68%||Valparaiso wins by 6|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|