Navy Midshipmen Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Navy Midshipmen. All of these projections for Navy are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Navy Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 10.1-18.9

Patriot League Conference Record: 3-3
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 7.1-10.9
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 9

Navy Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 277
RPI Rank: 232
NET Rank: 281
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 2-4 4-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.333 0.500

Our current projections give the Navy Midshipmen a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Navy’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Navy Midshipmen. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Navy Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 92 Old Dominion Away L 44-67
11/9 12 Maryland Home L 57-78
11/14 344 Coppin St Home W 77-58
11/18 317 Bryant Home W 83-79
11/20 325 Morgan St Away L 51-75
11/28 75 Liberty Home L 58-76
12/1 135 Brown Home L 50-67
12/5 203 Delaware Away W 80-65
12/9 50 Lipscomb Away L 81-107
12/21 137 George Mason Away L 63-84
12/30 216 Cornell Away L 50-61
1/3 166 Colgate Home W 72-66
1/6 184 Holy Cross Home W 50-48
1/9 236 American Univ Away L 63-71
1/12 242 Boston Univ Home L 69-75
1/16 295 Lafayette Away W 85-77
1/19 240 Army Away L 61-72
1/23 146 Lehigh Home 31.7%
1/26 184 Holy Cross Away 17.4%
1/30 138 Bucknell Away 11.4%
2/2 278 Loyola MD Home 58.8%
2/6 236 American Univ Home 45.6%
2/9 146 Lehigh Away 14.1%
2/13 295 Lafayette Home 60.1%
2/16 240 Army Home 48.9%
2/20 278 Loyola MD Away 41.2%
2/23 166 Colgate Away 15.5%
2/27 138 Bucknell Home 32.1%
3/2 242 Boston Univ Away 32.1%