Navy Midshipmen Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Navy Midshipmen. All of these projections for Navy are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Navy Record and Rankings

Record: 12-18
Projected Final Record: 12.0-18.0

Patriot League Conference Record: 8-9
Projected Final Patriot League Record: 8.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Patriot League: 5

Navy Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 247
RPI Rank: 213
NET Rank: 280
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-4 5-7 7-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.417 0.583

Our current projections give the Navy Midshipmen a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Navy’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Navy Midshipmen. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Navy Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 87 Old Dominion Away L 44-67
11/9 26 Maryland Home L 57-78
11/14 340 Coppin St Home W 77-58
11/18 320 Bryant Home W 83-79
11/20 343 Morgan St Away L 51-75
11/28 69 Liberty Home L 58-76
12/1 145 Brown Home L 50-67
12/5 231 Delaware Away W 80-65
12/9 67 Lipscomb Away L 81-107
12/21 150 George Mason Away L 63-84
12/30 181 Cornell Away L 50-61
1/3 127 Colgate Home W 72-66
1/6 232 Holy Cross Home W 50-48
1/9 224 American Univ Away L 63-71
1/12 241 Boston Univ Home L 69-75
1/16 277 Lafayette Away W 85-77
1/19 251 Army Away L 61-72
1/23 159 Lehigh Home L 74-85
1/26 232 Holy Cross Away L 64-69
1/30 146 Bucknell Away L 57-69
2/2 279 Loyola MD Home W 71-68
2/6 224 American Univ Home W 77-67
2/9 159 Lehigh Away L 57-83
2/13 277 Lafayette Home L 74-80
2/16 251 Army Home W 79-68
2/23 127 Colgate Away L 71-93
2/27 146 Bucknell Home W 64-53
3/2 241 Boston Univ Away W 79-74
3/7 224 American Univ Away W 60-56
3/10 127 Colgate Away L 70-80