Nebraska Cornhuskers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Nebraska Cornhuskers. All of these projections for Nebraska are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Nebraska Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 21.3-8.7

Big Ten Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 12.6-7.4
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 3

Nebraska Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 13
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 11 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Nebraska Cornhuskers a 11.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 46.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 42.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Nebraska’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.4%
NIT #2 Seed 7.2%
NIT #3 Seed 11.2%
NIT #4 Seed 13.0%
NIT #5 Seed 10.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Nebraska Cornhuskers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Nebraska Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 330 MS Valley St Home W 106-37
11/11 239 SE Louisiana Home W 87-35
11/14 27 Seton Hall Home 75.3%
11/19 151 Missouri St Neutal 90.4%
11/24 269 W Illinois Home 98.6%
11/26 21 Clemson Away 47.4%
12/2 45 Illinois Home 80.6%
12/5 109 Minnesota Away 69.1%
12/8 53 Creighton Home 84.5%
12/16 87 Oklahoma St Neutal 78.5%
12/22 161 CS Fullerton Home 95.1%
12/29 No Rank SW Minnesota Home 99.8%
1/2 37 Maryland Away 52.9%
1/6 84 Iowa Away 62.8%
1/10 17 Penn St Home 67.2%
1/14 20 Indiana Away 36.2%
1/17 12 Michigan St Home 59.8%
1/21 65 Rutgers Away 58.2%
1/26 8 Ohio St Home 58.8%
1/29 39 Wisconsin Home 79.2%
2/2 45 Illinois Away 53.7%
2/6 37 Maryland Home 80.4%
2/9 14 Purdue Away 44.9%
2/13 109 Minnesota Home 91.8%
2/16 67 Northwestern Home 85%
2/19 17 Penn St Away 42.7%
2/23 14 Purdue Home 71.4%
2/28 9 Michigan Away 38.5%
3/5 12 Michigan St Away 35.5%
3/10 84 Iowa Home 88.1%