Nebraska O. Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Nebraska O.. All of these projections for NE Omaha are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/14/2019.

NE Omaha Record and Rankings

Record: 14-9
Projected Final Record: 17.7-11.3

Summit Conference Record: 8-2
Projected Final Summit Record: 11.7-4.3
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 2

NE Omaha Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 174
RPI Rank: 150
NET Rank: 177
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-3 3-1 10-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.750 0.833

Our current projections give the Nebraska O. a 18.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 81.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account NE Omaha’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 14.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 2.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Nebraska O.. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

NE Omaha Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 43 Minnesota Away L 76-104
11/9 No Rank Buena Vista Home W 94-58
11/14 305 Northern Arizona Home L 66-76
11/16 92 Colorado Away L 75-79
11/20 307 Bethune-Cookman Away W 76-56
11/24 236 Montana St Home W 89-65
11/26 17 Iowa St Away L 55-82
11/28 64 Arizona St Away L 71-89
12/6 199 Seattle Away L 71-90
12/8 69 Oregon Away L 61-84
12/15 347 Idaho Away W 89-80
12/19 150 UC Santa Barbara Home W 85-74
12/21 208 Rice Away W 83-66
12/28 310 Denver Home W 91-84
12/30 276 Oral Roberts Home L 84-87
1/2 218 N Dakota St Home W 90-77
1/10 313 North Dakota Away W 92-91
1/17 311 W Illinois Away W 80-71
1/20 286 South Dakota Home W 75-68
1/24 195 PFW Away W 85-79
1/26 118 S Dakota St Away L 73-83
2/3 313 North Dakota Home W 90-72
2/7 286 South Dakota Neutal W 107-102
2/14 118 S Dakota St Home 40.5%
2/16 195 PFW Home 64.1%
2/20 311 W Illinois Home 84.2%
2/23 218 N Dakota St Away 54.8%
2/28 276 Oral Roberts Away 61.8%
3/2 310 Denver Away 66.4%