These are the latest Northeast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the NEC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 12/17/2018.
NEC Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|2||St Francis NY||7||4||19.1||11.9||0||0||11.2||6.8|
|3||St Francis PA||3||6||16.2||13.8||0||0||11.1||6.9|
|9||Mt St Mary’s||1||9||6.1||24.9||0||0||4.3||13.7|
Projected NEC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Northeast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|St Francis NY||16||-1.885|
Projected NEC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Northeast Conference standings.
|St Francis NY||18%||19%||16%||20%||100%|
|St Francis PA||18%||23%||17%||18%||99%|
|Mt St Mary’s||0%||0%||0%||0%||13%|
NEC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Northeast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Northeast Conference Basketball Tournament uses a standard eight team bracket that are played at the sites of the higher seeded team.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 6th, 2019
Semifinals: March 9th, 2019
Finals: March 12th, 2019
NEC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|1/3||St Francis NY||78.2%||Bryant||21.8%||St Francis NY wins by 8|
|1/3||Wagner||24.7%||Central Conn||75.3%||Central Conn wins by 8|
|1/3||F Dickinson||52.9%||Robert Morris||47.1%||F Dickinson wins by 1|
|1/3||Mt St Mary’s||7.8%||St Francis PA||92.2%||St Francis PA wins by 15|
|1/3||LIU Brooklyn||47.1%||Sacred Heart||52.9%||Sacred Heart wins by 1|
|1/5||LIU Brooklyn||74.8%||Bryant||25.2%||LIU Brooklyn wins by 8|
|1/5||F Dickinson||23.8%||St Francis PA||76.2%||St Francis PA wins by 8|
|1/5||St Francis NY||42.7%||Wagner||57.3%||Wagner wins by 3|
|1/5||Central Conn||57.1%||Sacred Heart||42.9%||Central Conn wins by 3|
|1/5||Mt St Mary’s||18.4%||Robert Morris||81.6%||Robert Morris wins by 9|
|1/10||Bryant||39.9%||Mt St Mary’s||60.1%||Mt St Mary’s wins by 4|
|1/10||Central Conn||59.5%||F Dickinson||40.5%||Central Conn wins by 4|
|1/10||Robert Morris||16.5%||LIU Brooklyn||83.5%||LIU Brooklyn wins by 10|
|1/10||St Francis PA||39.2%||St Francis NY||60.8%||St Francis NY wins by 4|
|1/10||Sacred Heart||32.8%||Wagner||67.2%||Wagner wins by 6|
|1/12||Central Conn||81.8%||Mt St Mary’s||18.2%||Central Conn wins by 10|
|1/12||F Dickinson||28.6%||Wagner||71.4%||Wagner wins by 7|
|1/12||Robert Morris||15.5%||St Francis NY||84.5%||St Francis NY wins by 11|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|