NEC Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Northeast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the NEC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

NEC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 St Francis PA 18 14 18 14 12 6 12 6
2 F Dickinson 20 13 20 13 12 6 12 6
3 Sacred Heart 15 17 15 17 11 7 11 7
4 Robert Morris 17 16 17 16 11 7 11 7
5 St Francis NY 17 15 17 15 9 9 9 9
6 LIU Brooklyn 16 16 16 16 9 9 9 9
7 Wagner 13 17 13 17 8 10 8 10
8 Bryant 10 20 10 20 7 11 7 11
9 Mt St Mary’s 9 22 9 22 6 12 6 12
10 Central Conn 11 20 11 20 5 13 5 13

Projected NEC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Northeast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
F Dickinson 16 -3.042

Projected NEC Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Northeast Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
St Francis PA 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
F Dickinson 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Sacred Heart 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Robert Morris 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
St Francis NY 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
LIU Brooklyn 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Wagner 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Bryant 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Mt St Mary’s 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Central Conn 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

NEC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Northeast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Northeast Conference Basketball Tournament uses a standard eight team bracket that are played at the sites of the higher seeded team.

Regular Season Champion: St Francis PA
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 6th, 2019
Semifinals: March 9th, 2019
Finals: March 12th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
St Francis PA
100%
100%
0%
2
F Dickinson
100%
100%
100%
3
Sacred Heart
0%
0%
0%
4
Robert Morris
100%
0%
0%
5
St Francis NY
0%
0%
0%
6
LIU Brooklyn
100%
0%
0%
7
Wagner
0%
0%
0%
8
Bryant
0%
0%
0%

NEC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC