NEC Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Northeast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the NEC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

NEC Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Wagner 23 9 23 9 16 5 16 5
2 Mt St Mary’s 18 14 18 14 12 7 12 7
3 St Francis PA 18 12 18 12 12 7 12 7
4 Long Island 18 16 18 16 13 8 13 8
5 St Francis NY 13 18 13 18 10 9 10 9
6 F Dickinson 13 18 13 18 10 10 10 10
7 Robert Morris 16 17 16 17 10 10 10 10
8 Central Conn 14 18 14 18 7 12 7 12
9 Sacred Heart 10 21 10 21 5 13 5 13
10 Bryant 3 28 3 28 2 16 2 16

Projected NEC Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Northeast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Long Island 16 -5.362

NEC Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Northeast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each NEC team. The Northeast Conference Basketball Tournament uses a standard eight team bracket that are played at the sites of the higher seeded team.

Regular Season Champion: Wagner
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: February 28th, 2018
Semifinals: March 3rd, 2018
Finals: March 6th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Semis Finals To Win
1
Wagner
100%
100%
0%
2
Mt St Mary’s
0%
0%
0%
3
St Francis PA
0%
0%
0%
4
Long Island
100%
100%
100%
5
St Francis NY
0%
0%
0%
6
F Dickinson
100%
0%
0%
7
Robert Morris
100%
0%
0%
8
Central Conn
0%
0%
0%

NEC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC