These are the latest Northeast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the NEC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/19/2018.
NEC Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|2||St Francis PA||16||11||17.3||11.7||10||6||11.3||6.7|
|3||Mt St Mary’s||16||13||17||14||10||6||11||7|
|4||St Francis NY||13||15||13.8||16.2||10||6||10.8||7.2|
Projected NEC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Northeast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
NEC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Northeast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each NEC team. The Northeast Conference Basketball Tournament uses a standard eight team bracket that are played at the sites of the higher seeded team.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: February 28th, 2018
Semifinals: March 3rd, 2018
Finals: March 6th, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
NEC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/22||Wagner||64.5%||Central Conn||35.5%||Wagner wins by 5|
|2/22||St Francis PA||56.1%||F Dickinson||43.9%||St Francis PA wins by 2|
|2/22||St Francis NY||39.2%||Long Island||60.8%||Long Island wins by 4|
|2/22||Robert Morris||41.8%||Mt St Mary’s||58.2%||Mt St Mary’s wins by 3|
|2/22||Sacred Heart||59.2%||Bryant||40.9%||Sacred Heart wins by 3|
|2/24||St Francis NY||44.5%||Central Conn||55.5%||Central Conn wins by 2|
|2/24||Bryant||14.1%||F Dickinson||85.9%||F Dickinson wins by 11|
|2/24||Sacred Heart||27.7%||Long Island||72.3%||Long Island wins by 7|
|2/24||Wagner||58.8%||Mt St Mary’s||41.2%||Wagner wins by 3|
|2/24||Robert Morris||30.9%||St Francis PA||69.1%||St Francis PA wins by 6|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|