These are the latest Northeast Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the NEC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
NEC Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|1||St Francis PA||14||11||16.2||12.8||10||4||12.2||5.8|
|2||St Francis NY||16||11||18.5||12.5||8||6||10.5||7.5|
|10||Mt St Mary’s||7||20||8.1||22.9||4||10||5.1||12.9|
Projected NEC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Northeast Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
|St Francis PA||16||-3.902|
Projected NEC Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Northeast Conference standings.
|St Francis PA||77%||12%||5%||6%||100%|
|St Francis NY||11%||26%||31%||13%||100%|
|Mt St Mary’s||0%||0%||0%||0%||5%|
NEC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Northeast Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Northeast Conference Basketball Tournament uses a standard eight team bracket that are played at the sites of the higher seeded team.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
Quarterfinals: March 6th, 2019
Semifinals: March 9th, 2019
Finals: March 12th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Semis||Finals||To Win|
NEC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Wagner||55.5%||Bryant||44.5%||Wagner wins by 2|
|2/21||Mt St Mary’s||20.8%||Central Conn||79.2%||Central Conn wins by 8|
|2/21||LIU Brooklyn||39.2%||Robert Morris||60.8%||Robert Morris wins by 4|
|2/21||St Francis NY||39.2%||St Francis PA||60.8%||St Francis PA wins by 4|
|2/21||Sacred Heart||37.2%||F Dickinson||62.8%||F Dickinson wins by 5|
|2/23||Mt St Mary’s||36.2%||Bryant||63.8%||Bryant wins by 5|
|2/23||Wagner||34.4%||F Dickinson||65.6%||F Dickinson wins by 5|
|2/23||St Francis NY||46.7%||Robert Morris||53.3%||Robert Morris wins by 1|
|2/23||Sacred Heart||45.2%||Central Conn||54.8%||Central Conn wins by 2|
|2/23||LIU Brooklyn||29.7%||St Francis PA||70.3%||St Francis PA wins by 7|
|2/28||Bryant||17.4%||St Francis NY||82.6%||St Francis NY wins by 10|
|2/28||Central Conn||37.9%||LIU Brooklyn||62.1%||LIU Brooklyn wins by 4|
|2/28||F Dickinson||60.1%||Mt St Mary’s||39.9%||F Dickinson wins by 4|
|2/28||St Francis PA||44.5%||Wagner||55.5%||Wagner wins by 2|
|2/28||Robert Morris||36.2%||Sacred Heart||63.8%||Sacred Heart wins by 5|
|3/2||Bryant||23.3%||LIU Brooklyn||76.7%||LIU Brooklyn wins by 8|
|3/2||F Dickinson||48.5%||Central Conn||51.5%||Central Conn wins by 1|
|3/2||Mt St Mary’s||15.8%||St Francis NY||84.2%||St Francis NY wins by 11|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|