Niagara Purple Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Niagara Purple Eagles. All of these projections for Niagara are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Niagara Record and Rankings

Record: 13-19
Projected Final Record: 13.0-19.0

MAAC Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final MAAC Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 11

Niagara Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 303
RPI Rank: 310
NET Rank: 301
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-1 5-4 8-14
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.556 0.364

Our current projections give the Niagara Purple Eagles a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Niagara’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Niagara Purple Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Niagara Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/12 125 St Bonaventure Home W 80-72
11/14 130 Loyola-Chicago Away L 62-75
11/16 315 Wyoming Away W 72-67
11/23 297 Grambling Home L 68-74
11/24 272 St Francis NY Neutral L 63-75
11/30 242 St Francis PA Away L 75-79
12/3 121 Pittsburgh Away W 71-70
12/9 341 New Hampshire Home W 71-67
12/16 181 Cornell Home W 77-74
12/19 285 Cleveland St Away L 60-82
12/22 251 Army Away W 78-66
12/29 258 Norfolk St Home W 83-75
12/31 281 Albany NY Home L 74-79
1/5 307 Manhattan Away L 80-90
1/7 308 Fairfield Away L 59-77
1/11 195 Iona Home W 95-90
1/13 225 Rider Home L 84-104
1/17 234 Siena Away L 57-66
1/19 240 Quinnipiac Away W 75-72
1/22 311 St Peter’s Home L 72-74
1/26 261 Monmouth NJ Home W 75-48
1/30 259 Canisius Home W 78-70
2/3 240 Quinnipiac Home L 73-84
2/8 293 Marist Away L 58-79
2/10 195 Iona Away L 76-79
2/15 307 Manhattan Home L 60-64
2/17 308 Fairfield Home W 78-73
2/22 225 Rider Away L 81-97
2/24 311 St Peter’s Away L 60-78
2/27 259 Canisius Away W 86-84
3/3 234 Siena Home L 65-72
3/7 261 Monmouth NJ Neutral L 72-76