Niagara Purple Eagles Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Niagara Purple Eagles. All of these projections for Niagara are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Niagara Record and Rankings

Record: 9-10
Projected Final Record: 14.8-16.2

MAAC Conference Record: 2-4
Projected Final MAAC Record: 7.8-10.2
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 7

Niagara Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 280
RPI Rank: 287
NET Rank: 305
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-1 0-2 8-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.000 0.533

Our current projections give the Niagara Purple Eagles a 1.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Niagara’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Niagara Purple Eagles. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Niagara Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/12 195 St Bonaventure Home W 80-72
11/14 100 Loyola-Chicago Away L 62-75
11/16 318 Wyoming Away W 72-67
11/23 285 Grambling Home L 68-74
11/24 219 St Francis NY Neutral L 63-75
11/30 243 St Francis PA Away L 75-79
12/3 65 Pittsburgh Away W 71-70
12/9 347 New Hampshire Home W 71-67
12/16 216 Cornell Home W 77-74
12/19 313 Cleveland St Away L 60-82
12/22 240 Army Away W 78-66
12/29 259 Norfolk St Home W 83-75
12/31 302 Albany NY Home L 74-79
1/5 333 Manhattan Away L 80-90
1/7 289 Fairfield Away L 59-77
1/11 227 Iona Home W 95-90
1/13 169 Rider Home L 84-104
1/17 260 Siena Away L 57-66
1/19 263 Quinnipiac Away W 75-72
1/22 314 St Peter’s Home 70.3%
1/26 265 Monmouth NJ Home 56.5%
1/30 233 Canisius Home 50.7%
2/3 263 Quinnipiac Home 55.5%
2/8 288 Marist Away 39.2%
2/10 227 Iona Away 22.3%
2/15 333 Manhattan Home 80.6%
2/17 289 Fairfield Home 60.8%
2/22 169 Rider Away 14.3%
2/24 314 St Peter’s Away 45.6%
2/27 233 Canisius Away 28.2%
3/3 260 Siena Home 56.1%