Nicholls State Colonels Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Nicholls State Colonels. All of these projections for Nicholls St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Nicholls St Record and Rankings

Record: 9-8
Projected Final Record: 14.7-15.3

Southland Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Southland Record: 8.7-9.3
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 6

Nicholls St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 284
RPI Rank: 242
NET Rank: 301
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 0-1 6-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.600

Our current projections give the Nicholls State Colonels a 1.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 98.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Nicholls St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 1.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Nicholls State Colonels. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Nicholls St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Mississippi Col Home W 86-58
11/8 23 Louisville Away L 72-85
11/11 215 Washington St Away L 72-89
11/13 335 Idaho Away W 83-80
11/16 58 Baylor Away L 54-81
11/20 28 Mississippi Away L 55-75
11/23 313 NC Central Neutal W 77-63
11/24 246 W Michigan Neutal W 62-61
11/28 No Rank Spring Hill Home W 85-65
12/15 237 Boston Univ Away L 63-75
12/18 162 ULM Away L 68-95
12/22 No Rank Mobile Home W 84-67
1/2 330 Northwestern LA Away W 78-72
1/5 337 Incarnate Word Away L 58-65
1/9 257 SF Austin Home W 78-73
1/12 242 Houston Bap Home W 77-76
1/16 298 McNeese St Away L 75-86
1/19 245 Cent Arkansas Away 29.7%
1/23 280 TAM C. Christi Away 37.9%
1/30 277 Lamar Home 56.5%
2/2 320 SE Louisiana Away 47.4%
2/9 208 New Orleans Away 21.8%
2/13 140 Abilene Chr Home 33.6%
2/16 242 Houston Bap Away 29.4%
2/20 184 Sam Houston St Away 18.2%
2/23 245 Cent Arkansas Home 49.6%
2/27 298 McNeese St Home 59.8%
3/2 208 New Orleans Home 43.5%
3/6 330 Northwestern LA Home 73.8%
3/9 320 SE Louisiana Home 64.9%