Nicholls State Colonels Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Nicholls State Colonels. All of these projections for Nicholls St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Nicholls St Record and Rankings

Record: 13-17
Projected Final Record: 13.0-17.0

Southland Conference Record: 7-11
Projected Final Southland Record: 7.0-11.0
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 9

Nicholls St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 309
RPI Rank: 313
NET Rank: 313
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-0 1-5 9-9
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.500

Our current projections give the Nicholls State Colonels a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Nicholls St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Nicholls State Colonels. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Nicholls St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Mississippi Col Home W 86-58
11/8 25 Louisville Away L 72-85
11/11 200 Washington St Away L 72-89
11/13 345 Idaho Away W 83-80
11/16 44 Baylor Away L 54-81
11/20 38 Mississippi Away L 55-75
11/23 305 NC Central Neutal W 77-63
11/24 282 W Michigan Neutal W 62-61
11/28 No Rank Spring Hill Home W 85-65
12/15 241 Boston Univ Away L 63-75
12/18 165 ULM Away L 68-95
12/22 No Rank Mobile Home W 84-67
1/2 332 Northwestern LA Away W 78-72
1/5 347 Incarnate Word Away L 58-65
1/9 298 SF Austin Home W 78-73
1/12 286 Houston Bap Home W 77-76
1/16 331 McNeese St Away L 75-86
1/19 287 Cent Arkansas Away L 68-74
1/23 280 TAM C. Christi Away L 73-75
1/30 212 Lamar Home L 69-90
2/2 223 SE Louisiana Away L 70-91
2/9 220 New Orleans Away W 64-63
2/13 140 Abilene Chr Home L 48-64
2/16 286 Houston Bap Away L 82-88
2/20 158 Sam Houston St Away L 74-84
2/23 287 Cent Arkansas Home W 100-57
2/27 331 McNeese St Home L 75-84
3/2 220 New Orleans Home L 70-80
3/6 332 Northwestern LA Home W 83-60
3/9 223 SE Louisiana Home W 69-63