Norfolk State Spartans Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Norfolk State Spartans. All of these projections for Norfolk St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Norfolk St Record and Rankings

Record: 9-10
Projected Final Record: 17.1-13.9

MEAC Conference Record: 4-0
Projected Final MEAC Record: 12.1-3.9
Projected Final Rank in the MEAC: 1

Norfolk St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 258
RPI Rank: 240
NET Rank: 260
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-7 0-0 6-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.750

Our current projections give the Norfolk State Spartans a 28.6% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 30.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 40.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Norfolk St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 28.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 30.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Norfolk State Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Norfolk St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 2 Michigan Away L 44-63
11/8 No Rank Mid-Atlantic Chr Home W 108-50
11/10 No Rank Clarion Home W 74-46
11/13 90 South Carolina Away L 64-81
11/16 270 Siena Neutral L 58-61
11/17 102 Stony Brook Neutral L 65-72
11/20 No Rank Regent Home W 97-57
11/27 102 Stony Brook Home L 73-79
11/29 293 Hampton Home W 94-89
12/1 124 Kent Away L 67-78
12/12 170 Rider Away L 71-81
12/16 111 Loyola-Chicago Away L 49-80
12/21 269 UTEP Away W 75-62
12/22 55 ETSU Neutral L 61-89
12/29 290 Niagara Away L 75-83
1/5 349 Delaware St Home W 77-63
1/7 316 Florida A&M Home W 72-62
1/12 348 Coppin St Away W 80-66
1/14 312 Bethune-Cookman Home W 75-68
1/19 341 Savannah St Away 63.4%
1/21 338 S Carolina St Away 59.5%
1/26 352 MD E Shore Home 93.8%
2/2 331 Howard Away 56.9%
2/9 312 Bethune-Cookman Away 51.8%
2/11 316 Florida A&M Away 52.9%
2/16 313 NC Central Home 76.2%
2/18 264 NC A&T Home 62.5%
2/23 329 Morgan St Away 55.9%
3/2 348 Coppin St Home 88.9%
3/4 349 Delaware St Away 70.3%
3/7 331 Howard Home 80.6%