Norfolk State Spartans Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Norfolk State Spartans. All of these projections for Norfolk St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Norfolk St Record and Rankings

Record: 21-13
Projected Final Record: 21.0-13.0

MEAC Conference Record: 14-2
Projected Final MEAC Record: 14.0-2.0
Projected Final Rank in the MEAC: 1

Norfolk St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 258
RPI Rank: 209
NET Rank: 256
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-4 0-3 18-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.783

Our current projections give the Norfolk State Spartans a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Norfolk St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 100.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Norfolk State Spartans. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Norfolk St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 8 Michigan Away L 44-63
11/8 No Rank Mid-Atlantic Chr Home W 108-50
11/10 No Rank Clarion Home W 74-46
11/13 65 South Carolina Away L 64-81
11/16 234 Siena Neutral L 58-61
11/17 157 Stony Brook Neutral L 65-72
11/20 No Rank Regent Home W 97-57
11/27 157 Stony Brook Home L 73-79
11/29 226 Hampton Home W 94-89
12/1 112 Kent Away L 67-78
12/12 225 Rider Away L 71-81
12/16 130 Loyola-Chicago Away L 49-80
12/21 302 UTEP Away W 75-62
12/22 71 ETSU Neutral L 61-89
12/29 303 Niagara Away L 75-83
1/5 353 Delaware St Home W 77-63
1/7 326 Florida A&M Home W 72-62
1/12 340 Coppin St Away W 80-66
1/14 317 Bethune-Cookman Home W 75-68
1/19 337 Savannah St Neutal W 82-76
1/21 342 S Carolina St Away W 74-69
1/26 352 MD E Shore Home W 88-60
2/2 301 Howard Away W 80-78
2/9 317 Bethune-Cookman Away L 76-84
2/11 326 Florida A&M Away W 66-54
2/16 305 NC Central Home W 75-71
2/18 290 NC A&T Home W 76-58
2/23 343 Morgan St Away W 75-74
3/2 340 Coppin St Home W 72-38
3/4 353 Delaware St Away W 74-66
3/7 301 Howard Home L 95-98
3/13 342 S Carolina St Neutal W 78-73
3/15 301 Howard Neutal W 75-69
3/16 305 NC Central Neutral L 47-50