North Alabama Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the North Alabama. All of these projections for North Alabama are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

North Alabama Record and Rankings

Record: 6-13
Projected Final Record: 10.7-20.3

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 3-1
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 7.7-8.3
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 5

North Alabama Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 294
RPI Rank: 237
NET Rank: 298
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-1 1-7 2-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.125 0.667

Our current projections give the North Alabama a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account North Alabama’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the North Alabama. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

North Alabama Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 158 Samford Away L 74-91
11/13 67 St Louis Away L 58-69
11/17 62 Pittsburgh Away L 66-71
11/24 183 Troy Away L 58-77
11/28 75 Toledo Away L 59-80
12/1 117 Jacksonville St Home L 65-76
12/4 173 UAB Away L 67-73
12/15 63 UNC Greensboro Away L 48-53
12/18 117 Jacksonville St Away L 50-64
12/21 318 VMI Away L 68-89
12/28 6 Gonzaga Away L 51-96
12/30 230 E Illinois Away L 70-81
1/5 179 North Florida Away L 67-96
1/8 285 FL Gulf Coast Home W 61-56
1/12 153 NJIT Home W 61-55
1/16 292 Jacksonville Away W 91-88
1/19 347 Stetson Home 84.2%
1/21 69 Liberty Away 6.3%
1/24 344 Kennesaw Home 83%
1/27 153 NJIT Away 13.2%
2/2 47 Lipscomb Away 2.3%
2/6 285 FL Gulf Coast Away 36.9%
2/9 179 North Florida Home 35.9%
2/16 69 Liberty Home 17%
2/20 344 Kennesaw Away 60.5%
2/23 347 Stetson Away 61.8%
2/26 292 Jacksonville Home 56.5%
3/1 47 Lipscomb Home 13.2%