North Alabama Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the North Alabama. All of these projections for North Alabama are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

North Alabama Record and Rankings

Record: 10-22
Projected Final Record: 10.0-22.0

Atlantic Sun Conference Record: 7-9
Projected Final Atlantic Sun Record: 7.0-9.0
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic Sun: 6

North Alabama Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 300
RPI Rank: 285
NET Rank: 312
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-5 1-8 6-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.111 0.545

Our current projections give the North Alabama a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account North Alabama’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the North Alabama. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

North Alabama Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 166 Samford Away L 74-91
11/13 98 St Louis Away L 58-69
11/17 121 Pittsburgh Away L 66-71
11/24 243 Troy Away L 58-77
11/28 64 Toledo Away L 59-80
12/1 115 Jacksonville St Home L 65-76
12/4 139 UAB Away L 67-73
12/15 51 UNC Greensboro Away L 48-53
12/18 115 Jacksonville St Away L 50-64
12/21 275 VMI Away L 68-89
12/28 7 Gonzaga Away L 51-96
12/30 294 E Illinois Away L 70-81
1/5 180 North Florida Away L 67-96
1/8 219 FL Gulf Coast Home W 61-56
1/12 174 NJIT Home W 61-55
1/16 291 Jacksonville Away W 91-88
1/19 333 Stetson Home W 63-62
1/21 69 Liberty Away L 47-72
1/24 335 Kennesaw Home W 76-71
1/27 174 NJIT Away L 70-76
2/2 67 Lipscomb Away L 80-102
2/6 219 FL Gulf Coast Away L 64-71
2/9 180 North Florida Home L 73-82
2/16 69 Liberty Home L 70-80
2/20 335 Kennesaw Away W 76-61
2/23 333 Stetson Away L 60-63
2/26 291 Jacksonville Home W 69-55
3/1 67 Lipscomb Home L 75-87
3/4 180 North Florida Away L 66-76