North Dakota State Bison Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the North Dakota State Bison. All of these projections for N Dakota St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

N Dakota St Record and Rankings

Record: 18-15
Projected Final Record: 18.0-15.0

Summit Conference Record: 9-7
Projected Final Summit Record: 9.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the Summit: 4

N Dakota St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 205
RPI Rank: 172
NET Rank: 222
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-4 3-3 13-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.500 0.765

Our current projections give the North Dakota State Bison a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account N Dakota St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 94.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the North Dakota State Bison. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

N Dakota St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 48 New Mexico St Away L 56-73
11/11 176 UC Santa Barbara Home W 82-63
11/16 154 Miami OH Neutral L 78-89
11/17 347 Incarnate Word Neutral L 78-80
11/18 284 Towson Neutal W 76-51
11/24 71 ETSU Away L 61-79
11/26 7 Gonzaga Away L 60-102
12/1 111 Drake Neutral L 88-95
12/3 23 Iowa St Away L 59-81
12/8 233 E Washington Home W 74-67
12/15 175 Missouri St Home W 74-67
12/17 136 Montana Away L 53-60
12/19 No Rank Northland Home W 90-43
12/29 249 South Dakota Home W 71-65
12/30 218 PFW Home L 87-90
1/2 168 NE Omaha Away L 77-90
1/6 No Rank Dickinson St ND Home W 85-53
1/10 310 W Illinois Home W 85-69
1/16 324 Denver Away L 65-80
1/19 296 North Dakota Home W 67-65
1/24 133 S Dakota St Away L 69-87
1/26 292 Oral Roberts Away W 67-57
2/2 310 W Illinois Away W 78-76
2/6 296 North Dakota Away W 74-70
2/9 324 Denver Home W 81-71
2/14 292 Oral Roberts Home W 85-73
2/16 133 S Dakota St Home L 77-78
2/23 168 NE Omaha Home L 50-58
2/28 249 South Dakota Away L 65-75
3/2 218 PFW Away W 69-66
3/10 292 Oral Roberts Neutal W 86-73
3/11 310 W Illinois Neutal W 76-73
3/12 168 NE Omaha Neutal W 73-63