North Texas Mean Green Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the North Texas Mean Green. All of these projections for North Texas are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

North Texas Record and Rankings

Record: 17-2
Projected Final Record: 22.3-4.7

CUSA Conference Record: 5-1
Projected Final CUSA Record: 10.3-3.7
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 2

North Texas Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 90
RPI Rank: 74
NET Rank: 68
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 6-1 8-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.857 1.000

Our current projections give the North Texas Mean Green a 14.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 32.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 53.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account North Texas’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 5.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 3.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 5.8%
NIT #7 Seed 15.6%
NIT #8 Seed 7.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the North Texas Mean Green. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

North Texas Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Angelo St Home W 89-55
11/9 No Rank Humboldt St Neutal W 93-48
11/10 316 Portland Neutal W 78-73
11/11 170 Hawaii Away W 68-51
11/14 No Rank TX A&M Commerce Home W 102-53
11/17 351 MD E Shore Home W 68-34
11/20 326 Maine Home W 74-63
11/24 314 St Peter’s Home W 75-66
11/27 29 Oklahoma Away L 57-73
12/5 171 Indiana St Away W 80-69
12/8 209 UT Arlington Home W 63-61
12/18 176 New Mexico Away W 74-65
12/20 304 Ark Pine Bluff Home W 77-66
12/29 254 Rice Away W 103-87
1/3 136 Louisiana Tech Home W 63-59
1/5 157 Southern Miss Home W 65-62
1/10 286 UTEP Away W 58-51
1/12 181 UT San Antonio Away L 74-76
1/19 254 Rice Home W 76-75
1/24 155 UAB Home 80.9%
1/26 292 MTSU Home 93.4%
1/31 92 Old Dominion Away 35.9%
2/2 238 Charlotte Away 69.1%
2/7 99 Marshall Home 62.8%
2/9 127 WKU Home 66%
2/14 186 FL Atlantic Away 60.5%
2/16 177 Florida Intl Away 58.5%