Northern Illinois Huskies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Northern Illinois Huskies. All of these projections for N Illinois are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

N Illinois Record and Rankings

Record: 10-7
Projected Final Record: 16.6-14.4

MAC Conference Record: 3-1
Projected Final MAC Record: 9.6-8.4
Projected Final Rank in the MAC: 5

N Illinois Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 138
RPI Rank: 165
NET Rank: 132
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-1 1-3 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.500 0.250 0.857

Our current projections give the Northern Illinois Huskies a 6.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 89.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account N Illinois’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 2.6%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 1.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 0.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Northern Illinois Huskies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

N Illinois Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Rockford Home W 93-54
11/9 109 N Kentucky Home L 85-88
11/17 No Rank IL Tech Home W 73-66
11/23 276 Oral Roberts Neutal W 87-66
11/24 236 James Madison Neutral L 74-78
11/25 223 Oakland Away W 92-72
11/28 197 WI Green Bay Away L 83-85
12/5 274 UC Davis Home W 71-62
12/8 49 Butler Away L 68-95
12/17 319 W Illinois Home W 91-76
12/20 109 N Kentucky Away L 62-65
12/22 343 Chicago St Home W 100-59
12/29 4 Michigan St Away L 60-88
1/5 147 Ohio Away W 72-66
1/8 187 Miami OH Away W 83-70
1/12 145 Akron Home W 73-56
1/15 120 C Michigan Home L 69-78
1/19 124 Kent Away 39.9%
1/22 11 Buffalo Home 17.4%
1/26 145 Akron Away 42.5%
1/29 147 Ohio Home 62.1%
2/2 75 Toledo Home 42.9%
2/5 107 Ball St Home 48.9%
2/9 167 E Michigan Away 48.5%
2/12 246 W Michigan Away 62.8%
2/16 115 Bowling Green Home 55.5%
2/23 75 Toledo Away 24.7%
2/26 246 W Michigan Home 81.6%
3/2 167 E Michigan Home 64.1%
3/5 120 C Michigan Away 39.5%
3/8 107 Ball St Away 33.6%