Northern Kentucky Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Northern Kentucky. All of these projections for N Kentucky are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

N Kentucky Record and Rankings

Record: 3-0
Projected Final Record: 22.4-8.6

Horizon Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Horizon Record: 13.3-4.7
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 2

N Kentucky Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 145
RPI Rank: 218
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 15 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Northern Kentucky a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account N Kentucky’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.2%
NIT #4 Seed 0.2%
NIT #5 Seed 2.2%
NIT #6 Seed 89.8%
NIT #7 Seed 7.4%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Northern Kentucky. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

N Kentucky Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Wilmington OH Home W 102-38
11/9 232 N Illinois Away W 88-85
11/11 No Rank Wabash Home W 99-59
11/16 163 UNC Asheville Home 65.6%
11/17 272 Manhattan Home 86.6%
11/18 138 Coastal Car Home 55.5%
11/24 131 UCF Away 36.2%
11/27 303 Morehead St Away 71.2%
11/30 139 UMBC Home 63.8%
12/4 52 Cincinnati Away 14.6%
12/8 278 E Kentucky Away 67.2%
12/16 185 Miami OH Home 67.2%
12/20 232 N Illinois Home 78.2%
12/28 257 IUPUI Home 84.2%
12/30 200 IL Chicago Home 76.7%
1/3 219 Oakland Away 55.5%
1/5 331 Detroit Away 82.8%
1/11 135 Wright St Home 57.5%
1/17 301 Cleveland St Away 74.3%
1/19 336 Youngstown St Away 88.9%
1/24 286 WI Green Bay Home 86.1%
1/26 271 WI Milwaukee Home 85.2%
2/1 257 IUPUI Away 61.8%
2/3 200 IL Chicago Away 54.8%
2/7 331 Detroit Home 93.4%
2/9 219 Oakland Home 77.7%
2/15 135 Wright St Away 37.9%
2/21 336 Youngstown St Home 97.1%
2/23 301 Cleveland St Home 91.8%
2/28 271 WI Milwaukee Away 63.4%
3/2 286 WI Green Bay Away 64.5%