Northern Kentucky Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Northern Kentucky. All of these projections for N Kentucky are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

N Kentucky Record and Rankings

Record: 22-10
Projected Final Record: 22.0-10.0

Horizon Conference Record: 15-4
Projected Final Horizon Record: 15.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 1

N Kentucky Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 135
RPI Rank: 114
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-5 5-1 15-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.833 0.882

Our current projections give the Northern Kentucky a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account N Kentucky’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 40.8%
NIT #7 Seed 59.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Northern Kentucky. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

N Kentucky Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 101 ETSU Home W 81-63
11/12 No Rank Wilmington OH Home W 93-65
11/17 240 James Madison Nassau, Bahamas W 87-78
11/18 153 Iona Nassau, Bahamas W 85-72
11/19 84 Vermont Nassau, Bahamas L 64-66
11/25 110 Memphis Away L 74-76
11/29 No Rank Berea Home W 112-33
12/2 290 Morehead St Home W 86-49
12/6 101 ETSU Away L 71-84
12/10 279 E Kentucky Home W 91-63
12/17 161 UMBC Away L 75-76
12/19 26 Texas A&M Away L 58-64
12/28 289 IUPUI Home W 77-59
12/30 210 IL Chicago Home W 86-51
1/5 188 Oakland Away W 87-83
1/7 325 Detroit Away W 56-54
1/11 128 Wright St Home L 81-84
1/15 288 Cleveland St Home W 70-55
1/18 206 WI Milwaukee Away W 91-64
1/20 276 WI Green Bay Away W 77-65
1/26 188 Oakland Home L 70-83
1/28 325 Detroit Home W 72-44
2/1 326 Youngstown St Away W 95-85
2/3 288 Cleveland St Away W 78-61
2/8 206 WI Milwaukee Home W 54-52
2/10 276 WI Green Bay Home W 86-80
2/16 128 Wright St Away L 67-69
2/19 326 Youngstown St Home W 70-51
2/23 210 IL Chicago Away W 79-72
2/25 289 IUPUI Away W 75-56
3/3 288 Cleveland St Detroit, MI L 80-89
3/13 33 Louisville Away L 58-66