Northwestern State Demons Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Northwestern State Demons. All of these projections for Northwestern LA are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Northwestern LA Record and Rankings

Record: 7-11
Projected Final Record: 11.1-19.9

Southland Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Southland Record: 6.1-11.9
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 12

Northwestern LA Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 328
RPI Rank: 309
NET Rank: 337
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 0-4 4-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.571

Our current projections give the Northwestern State Demons a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Northwestern LA’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Northwestern State Demons. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Northwestern LA Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Centenary Home W 102-62
11/8 121 SMU Away L 58-69
11/13 112 BYU Away L 57-82
11/17 254 Rice Away L 74-102
11/19 13 Houston Away L 55-82
11/23 346 Alabama A&M Home W 70-66
11/27 149 ULM Home L 52-80
12/1 286 UTEP Away L 47-77
12/3 122 Texas A&M Away L 59-80
12/12 14 Texas Tech Away L 44-79
12/15 343 Southern Univ Neutal W 69-66
12/18 No Rank Louisiana Col Home W 84-64
12/30 No Rank Champion Bap Home W 86-65
1/2 297 Nicholls St Home L 72-78
1/5 320 McNeese St Home W 66-61
1/9 261 TAM C. Christi Home L 61-62
1/12 257 SF Austin Away W 61-59
1/19 147 Abilene Chr Away L 69-78
1/23 182 Sam Houston St Home 22.8%
1/26 310 SE Louisiana Home 47.4%
1/30 232 New Orleans Away 16.2%
2/2 237 Cent Arkansas Away 16.5%
2/6 232 New Orleans Home 36.6%
2/9 320 McNeese St Away 32.4%
2/13 283 Lamar Away 20.8%
2/16 257 SF Austin Home 39.5%
2/20 272 Houston Bap Away 19.1%
2/27 339 Incarnate Word Home 64.1%
3/2 310 SE Louisiana Away 30.1%
3/6 297 Nicholls St Away 28.2%
3/9 237 Cent Arkansas Home 38.2%