Oakland Golden Grizzlies Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. All of these projections for Oakland are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Oakland Record and Rankings

Record: 16-17
Projected Final Record: 16.0-17.0

Horizon Conference Record: 11-7
Projected Final Horizon Record: 11.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the Horizon: 3

Oakland Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 192
RPI Rank: 214
NET Rank: 210
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-4 2-6 13-5
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.250 0.722

Our current projections give the Oakland Golden Grizzlies a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Oakland’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Oakland Golden Grizzlies. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Oakland Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 64 Toledo Home L 86-87
11/13 282 W Michigan Home L 77-85
11/16 156 UNLV Away L 61-74
11/19 No Rank Defiance Home W 91-47
11/23 257 James Madison Home W 77-69
11/24 292 Oral Roberts Home W 87-76
11/25 143 N Illinois Home L 72-92
12/1 60 Xavier Away L 63-73
12/6 308 Fairfield Away W 87-86
12/8 79 Northeastern Away L 83-92
12/16 197 Hartford Away L 82-87
12/18 124 Georgia Away L 69-81
12/21 6 Michigan St Away L 69-99
12/28 285 Cleveland St Away W 89-77
12/30 271 Youngstown St Away W 76-74
1/3 113 N Kentucky Home W 76-74
1/5 138 Wright St Home L 73-89
1/10 306 WI Milwaukee Home L 64-67
1/12 198 WI Green Bay Home W 90-78
1/19 248 Detroit Away W 79-73
1/24 216 IUPUI Away L 71-73
1/26 201 IL Chicago Away W 80-67
1/31 271 Youngstown St Home L 74-75
2/2 285 Cleveland St Home W 83-68
2/7 138 Wright St Away L 62-76
2/9 113 N Kentucky Away L 64-79
2/14 198 WI Green Bay Away L 54-66
2/16 306 WI Milwaukee Away W 89-73
2/23 248 Detroit Home W 95-75
2/28 201 IL Chicago Home W 86-72
3/2 216 IUPUI Home W 74-63
3/6 271 Youngstown St Home W 88-84
3/11 113 N Kentucky Neutral L 63-64