Ohio State Buckeyes Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Ohio State Buckeyes. All of these projections for Ohio St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Ohio St Record and Rankings

Record: 25-9
Projected Final Record: 25.0-9.0

Big Ten Conference Record: 15-4
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 15.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 2

Ohio St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 19
RPI Rank: 20
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 5 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 3-5 6-2 8-1 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.375 0.750 0.889 1.000

Our current projections give the Ohio State Buckeyes a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ohio St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 12.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 49.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 29.8%
NCAA #7 Seed 5.6%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Ohio State Buckeyes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ohio St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 255 Robert Morris Home W 95-64
11/12 173 Radford Home W 82-72
11/16 264 TX Southern Home W 82-64
11/19 97 Northeastern Home W 80-55
11/23 11 Gonzaga Portland, OR L 59-86
11/24 74 Stanford Portland, OR W 79-71
11/26 29 Butler Portland, OR L 66-67
11/29 20 Clemson Home L 65-79
12/2 75 Wisconsin Away W 83-58
12/4 9 Michigan Home W 71-62
12/9 143 William & Mary Home W 97-62
12/16 222 Appalachian St Home W 80-67
12/19 294 Citadel Home W 94-65
12/23 10 North Carolina New Orleans, LA L 72-86
12/30 190 Miami OH Home W 72-59
1/4 100 Iowa Away W 92-81
1/7 4 Michigan St Home W 80-64
1/11 57 Maryland Home W 91-69
1/14 134 Rutgers Away W 68-46
1/17 94 Northwestern Away W 71-65
1/20 111 Minnesota New York, NY W 67-49
1/22 45 Nebraska Home W 64-59
1/25 50 Penn St Home L 79-82
1/30 81 Indiana Home W 71-56
2/4 112 Illinois Home W 75-67
2/7 6 Purdue Away W 64-63
2/10 100 Iowa Home W 82-64
2/15 50 Penn St Away L 56-79
2/18 9 Michigan Away L 62-74
2/20 134 Rutgers Home W 79-52
2/23 81 Indiana Away W 80-78
3/2 50 Penn St New York, NY L 68-69
3/15 59 S Dakota St NCAA Tournament Boise ID W 81-73
3/17 11 Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Boise, ID L 84-90