Ohio State Buckeyes Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Ohio State Buckeyes. All of these projections for Ohio St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Ohio St Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 23.2-7.8

Big Ten Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 13.3-6.7
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 1

Ohio St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 8
RPI Rank: 75
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 4 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 1.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Ohio State Buckeyes a 91.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 4.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 4.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Ohio St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #2 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #4 Seed 8.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 10.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 20.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 20.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 10.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 9.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 3.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.8%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Ohio State Buckeyes. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Ohio St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/7 52 Cincinnati Away W 64-56
11/11 No Rank PFW Home W 107-61
11/15 53 Creighton Away 60.5%
11/18 337 S Carolina St Home 99.5%
11/20 162 Samford Home 93%
11/23 301 Cleveland St Home 98.9%
11/28 26 Syracuse Home 79.9%
12/2 109 Minnesota Home 92.2%
12/5 45 Illinois Neutral 68%
12/15 95 Bucknell Home 91.8%
12/18 336 Youngstown St Home 99.5%
12/22 42 UCLA Neutral 70.7%
12/29 280 High Point Home 98.8%
1/5 12 Michigan St Home 62.5%
1/9 65 Rutgers Away 60.1%
1/12 84 Iowa Away 65.3%
1/18 37 Maryland Home 82.3%
1/23 14 Purdue Home 76.2%
1/26 13 Nebraska Away 41.2%
1/29 9 Michigan Away 41.8%
2/2 65 Rutgers Home 86.1%
2/7 17 Penn St Home 72.8%
2/10 20 Indiana Away 39.2%
2/14 45 Illinois Home 82.6%
2/17 12 Michigan St Away 38.2%
2/20 67 Northwestern Home 86.4%
2/23 37 Maryland Away 55.9%
2/26 84 Iowa Home 90%
3/2 14 Purdue Away 48.5%
3/6 67 Northwestern Away 60.5%
3/10 39 Wisconsin Home 81.1%