Oklahoma State Cowboys Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Oklahoma State Cowboys. All of these projections for Oklahoma St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Oklahoma St Record and Rankings

Record: 8-9
Projected Final Record: 12.5-18.5

Big 12 Conference Record: 2-3
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 5.8-12.2
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 9

Oklahoma St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 74
RPI Rank: 73
NET Rank: 68
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-5 3-2 2-1 2-1
Win % by Tier 0.167 0.600 0.667 0.667

Our current projections give the Oklahoma State Cowboys a 15.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 12.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 71.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Oklahoma St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.6%
NIT #2 Seed 2.8%
NIT #3 Seed 2.6%
NIT #4 Seed 2.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.2%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Oklahoma State Cowboys. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Oklahoma St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 260 Charlotte Away L 64-66
11/14 160 UT San Antonio Home W 82-60
11/18 101 Col Charleston Home W 70-58
11/22 89 Memphis Neutal W 84-64
11/23 24 Villanova Neutral L 58-77
11/25 21 LSU Neutal W 90-77
11/30 45 Minnesota Neutral L 76-83
12/5 99 Tulsa Away L 71-74
12/8 13 Houston Home L 53-63
12/16 14 Nebraska Neutral L 56-79
12/21 245 Cent Arkansas Home W 82-73
12/29 280 TAM C. Christi Home W 69-59
1/2 18 Iowa St Home L 63-69
1/5 22 Oklahoma Away L 64-74
1/8 39 Texas Home W 61-58
1/12 93 West Virginia Away W 85-77
1/14 58 Baylor Home L 69-73
1/19 18 Iowa St Away 14.6%
1/23 22 Oklahoma Home 38.9%
1/26 90 South Carolina Home 66%
2/2 32 Kansas St Home 43.3%
2/6 27 TCU Away 16.7%
2/9 7 Kansas Away 9.2%
2/13 8 Texas Tech Home 34%
2/16 39 Texas Away 22.3%
2/18 27 TCU Home 39.9%
2/23 32 Kansas St Away 20.8%
2/27 8 Texas Tech Away 13.7%
3/2 7 Kansas Home 30.9%
3/6 58 Baylor Away 36.2%
3/9 93 West Virginia Home 63.1%