Oklahoma State Cowboys Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Oklahoma State Cowboys. All of these projections for Oklahoma St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Oklahoma St Record and Rankings

Record: 0-1
Projected Final Record: 13.0-16.0

Big 12 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big 12 Record: 6.7-11.3
Projected Final Rank in the Big 12: 10

Oklahoma St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 87
RPI Rank: 298
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Oklahoma State Cowboys a 15.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 50.8% chance at an NIT bid and a 34.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Oklahoma St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #3 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 3.0%
NIT #2 Seed 11.4%
NIT #3 Seed 14.6%
NIT #4 Seed 12.4%
NIT #5 Seed 8.4%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Oklahoma State Cowboys. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Oklahoma St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 289 Charlotte Away L 64-66
11/14 141 UT San Antonio Home 85.7%
11/18 82 Col Charleston Home 62.8%
11/22 105 Memphis Neutal 56.5%
11/30 109 Minnesota Away 47.4%
12/5 107 Tulsa Away 51.8%
12/8 33 Houston Home 43.3%
12/16 13 Nebraska Neutral 21.5%
12/21 267 Cent Arkansas Home 93%
12/29 308 TAM C. Christi Home 98.4%
1/2 60 Iowa St Home 46.3%
1/5 74 Oklahoma Away 35.5%
1/8 54 Texas Home 51.5%
1/12 44 West Virginia Away 27.7%
1/14 83 Baylor Home 56.7%
1/19 60 Iowa St Away 23.8%
1/23 74 Oklahoma Home 56.5%
1/26 112 South Carolina Home 65.6%
2/2 46 Kansas St Home 51.1%
2/6 59 TCU Away 29%
2/9 6 Kansas Away 8.2%
2/13 29 Texas Tech Home 42.9%
2/16 54 Texas Away 29.7%
2/18 59 TCU Home 51.1%
2/23 46 Kansas St Away 29%
2/27 29 Texas Tech Away 19.1%
3/2 6 Kansas Home 27.1%
3/6 83 Baylor Away 36.2%
3/9 44 West Virginia Home 49.6%