Old Dominion Monarchs Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. All of these projections for Old Dominion are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Old Dominion Record and Rankings

Record: 21-5
Projected Final Record: 23.8-6.2

CUSA Conference Record: 12-2
Projected Final CUSA Record: 14.8-3.2
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 2

Old Dominion Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 73
RPI Rank: 85
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-3 8-0 13-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Old Dominion Monarchs a 19.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 16.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 64.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Old Dominion’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 4.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 14.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 2.4%
NIT #4 Seed 4.4%
NIT #5 Seed 8.0%
NIT #6 Seed 1.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Old Dominion Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 163 Towson Home W 57-54
11/13 235 James Madison Away W 69-53
11/16 75 Temple Charleston, SC L 65-76
11/17 170 Indiana St Charleston, SC W 62-44
11/19 143 Dayton Charleston, SC W 75-67
11/25 155 William & Mary Away L 77-79
11/27 345 MD E Shore Home W 83-44
12/2 128 VA Commonwealth Away L 75-82
12/6 180 Richmond Home W 79-60
12/9 189 Bowling Green Home W 88-46
12/17 228 Fairfield Away W 82-77
12/22 299 Norfolk St Norfolk, VA W 61-50
12/30 326 Charlotte Home W 89-58
1/4 330 Rice Away W 82-75
1/6 195 North Texas Away W 63-60
1/11 70 WKU Home L 68-75
1/13 113 Marshall Home W 82-76
1/18 258 Florida Intl Away W 64-54
1/20 250 FL Atlantic Away W 73-62
1/27 326 Charlotte Away W 88-66
2/1 48 MTSU Home L 59-66
2/3 148 UAB Home W 65-60
2/8 224 Southern Miss Away W 68-63
2/10 152 Louisiana Tech Away W 82-69
2/15 182 UT San Antonio Home W 100-62
2/17 280 UTEP Home W 82-33
2/22 113 Marshall Away 55.7%
2/24 70 WKU Away 38.2%
3/1 250 FL Atlantic Home 93%
3/3 258 Florida Intl Home 92.6%