Old Dominion Monarchs Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. All of these projections for Old Dominion are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Old Dominion Record and Rankings

Record: 1-1
Projected Final Record: 16.8-8.2

CUSA Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final CUSA Record: 9.3-4.7
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 3

Old Dominion Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 78
RPI Rank: 196
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Old Dominion Monarchs a 5.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 17.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 77.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Old Dominion’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 1.2%
NIT #2 Seed 2.2%
NIT #3 Seed 2.2%
NIT #4 Seed 4.2%
NIT #5 Seed 6.4%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Old Dominion Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 264 Navy Home W 67-44
11/9 76 St Joseph’s PA Away L 64-79
11/16 85 Oregon St Neutral 49.1%
11/23 148 Northern Iowa Home 80.4%
11/28 144 VA Commonwealth Home 81.6%
12/1 205 James Madison Home 90.3%
12/5 182 William & Mary Home 85.7%
12/9 133 Fairfield Home 83.5%
12/15 26 Syracuse Away 15.8%
12/19 199 Richmond Away 62.8%
12/22 333 Morgan St Home 98.7%
1/3 64 Marshall Home 58.8%
1/5 73 WKU Home 59.2%
1/10 180 FL Atlantic Away 64.5%
1/12 184 Florida Intl Away 64.1%
1/17 81 Louisiana Tech Home 61.8%
1/19 129 Southern Miss Home 84%
1/21 289 Charlotte Away 83%
1/24 217 UTEP Away 72.5%
1/26 141 UT San Antonio Away 60.1%
1/31 110 North Texas Home 74.3%
2/2 268 Rice Home 93.4%
2/7 86 UAB Away 41.2%
2/9 34 MTSU Away 18.4%
2/16 289 Charlotte Home 94.4%