Old Dominion Monarchs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. All of these projections for Old Dominion are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Old Dominion Record and Rankings

Record: 14-5
Projected Final Record: 20.0-7.0

CUSA Conference Record: 4-2
Projected Final CUSA Record: 10.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 3

Old Dominion Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 92
RPI Rank: 107
NET Rank: 89
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 14 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-0 1-2 4-3 8-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 0.333 0.571 1.000

Our current projections give the Old Dominion Monarchs a 31.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 29.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 39.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Old Dominion’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #12 Seed 6.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 15.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 5.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 1.0%
NIT #3 Seed 1.0%
NIT #4 Seed 1.2%
NIT #5 Seed 3.4%
NIT #6 Seed 9.0%
NIT #7 Seed 11.8%
NIT #8 Seed 1.4%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Old Dominion Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 277 Navy Home W 67-44
11/9 168 St Joseph’s PA Away L 64-79
11/16 67 Oregon St Neutral L 56-61
11/17 348 Kennesaw Neutal W 65-47
11/19 188 Northern Iowa Neutral L 53-54
11/23 188 Northern Iowa Home W 72-65
11/28 52 VA Commonwealth Home W 62-52
12/1 246 James Madison Home W 67-42
12/5 226 William & Mary Home W 71-53
12/9 289 Fairfield Home W 79-69
12/15 41 Syracuse Away W 68-62
12/19 229 Richmond Away W 63-54
12/22 325 Morgan St Home W 76-53
1/3 99 Marshall Home L 67-70
1/5 127 WKU Home W 69-66
1/10 186 FL Atlantic Away L 73-80
1/12 177 Florida Intl Away W 75-74
1/17 136 Louisiana Tech Home W 64-63
1/19 157 Southern Miss Home W 78-60
1/21 238 Charlotte Away 72.9%
1/24 286 UTEP Away 79.7%
1/26 181 UT San Antonio Away 60.8%
1/31 90 North Texas Home 64.1%
2/2 254 Rice Home 92.2%
2/7 155 UAB Away 55.9%
2/9 292 MTSU Away 80.4%
2/16 238 Charlotte Home 91.8%