Old Dominion Monarchs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. All of these projections for Old Dominion are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Old Dominion Record and Rankings

Record: 26-8
Projected Final Record: 26.0-8.0

CUSA Conference Record: 13-5
Projected Final CUSA Record: 13.0-5.0
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 1

Old Dominion Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 87
RPI Rank: 61
NET Rank: 101
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 13 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-0 1-0 11-8 12-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 1.000 0.579 1.000

Our current projections give the Old Dominion Monarchs a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Old Dominion’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 28.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 49.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 21.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Old Dominion Monarchs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Old Dominion Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 247 Navy Home W 67-44
11/9 178 St Joseph’s PA Away L 64-79
11/16 91 Oregon St Neutral L 56-61
11/17 335 Kennesaw Neutal W 65-47
11/19 169 Northern Iowa Neutral L 53-54
11/23 169 Northern Iowa Home W 72-65
11/28 47 VA Commonwealth Home W 62-52
12/1 257 James Madison Home W 67-42
12/5 196 William & Mary Home W 71-53
12/9 308 Fairfield Home W 79-69
12/15 36 Syracuse Away W 68-62
12/19 208 Richmond Away W 63-54
12/22 343 Morgan St Home W 76-53
1/3 142 Marshall Home L 67-70
1/5 105 WKU Home W 69-66
1/10 177 FL Atlantic Away L 73-80
1/12 173 Florida Intl Away W 75-74
1/17 137 Louisiana Tech Home W 64-63
1/19 114 Southern Miss Home W 76-62
1/21 268 Charlotte Away W 76-70
1/24 302 UTEP Away W 50-48
1/26 144 UT San Antonio Away L 73-74
1/31 164 North Texas Home W 72-61
2/2 237 Rice Home W 80-76
2/7 139 UAB Away W 70-59
2/9 235 MTSU Away W 55-50
2/16 268 Charlotte Home W 73-60
2/23 105 WKU Home W 67-63
2/28 144 UT San Antonio Away W 65-64
3/6 114 Southern Miss Home L 52-59
3/9 139 UAB Away L 50-64
3/14 137 Louisiana Tech Neutal W 57-56
3/15 139 UAB Neutal W 61-59
3/16 105 WKU Neutal W 62-56