Ole Miss Rebels Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Ole Miss Rebels. All of these projections for Mississippi are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Mississippi Record and Rankings

Record: 12-20
Projected Final Record: 12.0-20.0

SEC Conference Record: 5-14
Projected Final SEC Record: 5.0-14.0
Projected Final Rank in the SEC: 14

Mississippi Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 103
RPI Rank: 140
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-11 4-7 3-2 4-0
Win % by Tier 0.083 0.364 0.600 1.000

Our current projections give the Ole Miss Rebels a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 1.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Mississippi’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Ole Miss Rebels. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Mississippi Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 83 ULL Home W 94-76
11/13 279 E Kentucky Home W 85-75
11/17 122 Georgia St Home W 77-72
11/20 56 Utah Las Vegas, NV L 74-83
11/22 314 Rice Las Vegas, NV W 79-62
11/28 59 S Dakota St Home L 97-99
12/2 27 Virginia Tech Home L 80-83
12/9 65 MTSU Away L 58-77
12/13 219 Sam Houston St Home W 82-69
12/16 119 Illinois St Home L 97-101
12/19 317 TAM C. Christi Home W 85-63
12/22 125 Bradley Home W 82-59
12/31 68 South Carolina Home W 74-69
1/3 58 Georgia Away L 60-71
1/6 51 Mississippi St Home W 64-58
1/9 14 Auburn Away L 70-85
1/13 23 Florida Home W 78-72
1/16 26 Texas A&M Away L 69-71
1/20 24 Arkansas Away L 93-97
1/23 49 Alabama Home W 78-66
1/27 32 Texas Away L 72-85
1/30 14 Auburn Home L 70-79
2/3 12 Tennessee Away L 61-94
2/6 42 Missouri Home L 69-75
2/10 62 LSU Away L 66-82
2/13 24 Arkansas Home L 64-75
2/17 51 Mississippi St Away L 62-79
2/20 42 Missouri Away W 90-87
2/24 12 Tennessee Home L 65-73
2/28 17 Kentucky Away L 78-96
3/3 86 Vanderbilt Home L 69-82
3/7 68 South Carolina St. Louis, MO L 84-85