These are the latest Ohio Valley Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the OVC are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2018.
OVC Projected Conference Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
|7||SE Missouri St||14||15||15.2||15.8||7||8||8.2||8.8|
Projected OVC Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Ohio Valley Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
OVC Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each OVC team. The Ohio Valley Conference uses a little bit of a strange structure for it’s Men’s Basketball Tournament. Eight teams of the twleve in the conference advance to play in the tournament. The top two seeds are given byes into the Semifinals, while the three and four seeds are given byes into the Quarterfinals. Thus, seeds five through eight would have to win four games to take the tournament while the top two seeds would only have to win two games.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Ford Center (Evansville, IN)
1st Round: February 28th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 1st, 2018
Semifinals: March 2nd, 2018
Finals: March 3rd, 2018
|Seed||Team||To Advance To||Qtrs||Semis||Finals||To Win|
OVC Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/22||SE Missouri St||45.2%||E Kentucky||54.8%||E Kentucky wins by 2|
|2/22||TN Martin||37.6%||Morehead St||62.5%||Morehead St wins by 4|
|2/22||Murray St||79.7%||E Illinois||20.3%||Murray St wins by 9|
|2/22||Belmont||58.8%||Jacksonville St||41.2%||Belmont wins by 3|
|2/22||Tennessee St||43.9%||Tennessee Tech||56.1%||Tennessee Tech wins by 2|
|2/22||Austin Peay||60.1%||Edwardsville||39.9%||Austin Peay wins by 4|
|2/24||E Kentucky||39.9%||Morehead St||60.1%||Morehead St wins by 4|
|2/24||Murray St||66%||Austin Peay||34%||Murray St wins by 5|
|2/24||Tennessee St||13.4%||Belmont||86.6%||Belmont wins by 12|
|2/24||Edwardsville||27.2%||E Illinois||72.8%||E Illinois wins by 7|
|2/24||TN Martin||28.2%||SE Missouri St||71.8%||SE Missouri St wins by 7|
|2/24||Jacksonville St||55.5%||Tennessee Tech||44.5%||Jacksonville St wins by 2|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|