These are the latest Pac-12 Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Pac-12 are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.
Pac-12 Projected Standings
| Rank | Team | All Games | Conference Games | Actual | Projected | Actual | Projected | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses | ||
| 1 | Arizona | 27 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 4 |
| 2 | USC | 23 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 3 | Utah | 19 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 4 | UCLA | 21 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 5 | Stanford | 18 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
| 6 | Oregon | 22 | 12 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 7 | Washington | 20 | 12 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Colorado | 17 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Arizona St | 20 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Oregon St | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Washington St | 12 | 19 | 12 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 15 |
| 12 | California | 8 | 24 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
Projected Pac-12 Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Pac-12 Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
| Team | Seed | Bracket Rating |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 4 | 9.352 |
| UCLA | 10 | 6.244 |
| USC | 11 | 5.609 |
| Arizona St | 11 | 5.39 |
Pac-12 Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Pac-12 Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Pac-12 team. The Pac-12 Men’s Basketball Tournament features a standard format with twelve teams, single elimination, and on an off-campus site.
Regular Season Champion: Arizona
Tournament Site: T-Mobile Area (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018
| Seed | Team | To Advance To | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qtrs | Semis | Finals | To Win | ||
Pac-12 Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
| Date | Away Team | Away Prob to Win | Home Team | Home Prob to Win | Game Projection |
|---|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.