Pac-12 Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Pac-12 Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Pac-12 are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Pac-12 Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Arizona 27 7 27 7 17 4 17 4
2 USC 23 11 23 11 14 7 14 7
3 Utah 19 11 19 11 11 8 11 8
4 UCLA 21 11 21 11 12 8 12 8
5 Stanford 18 15 18 15 12 8 12 8
6 Oregon 22 12 22 12 12 9 12 9
7 Washington 20 12 20 12 10 9 10 9
8 Colorado 17 15 17 15 9 11 9 11
9 Arizona St 20 11 20 11 8 11 8 11
10 Oregon St 16 16 16 16 8 12 8 12
11 Washington St 12 19 12 19 4 15 4 15
12 California 8 24 8 24 2 17 2 17

Projected Pac-12 Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Pac-12 Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Arizona 4 9.352
UCLA 10 6.244
USC 11 5.609
Arizona St 11 5.39

Pac-12 Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Pac-12 Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Pac-12 team. The Pac-12 Men’s Basketball Tournament features a standard format with twelve teams, single elimination, and on an off-campus site.

Regular Season Champion: Arizona
Tournament Site: T-Mobile Area (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 7th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 8th, 2018
Semifinals: March 9th, 2018
Finals: March 10th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Arizona
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
USC
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Utah
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
UCLA
100%
100%
0%
0%
5
Stanford
100%
0%
0%
0%
6
Oregon
100%
100%
0%
0%
7
Washington
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
Colorado
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Arizona St
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Oregon St
100%
0%
0%
0%
11
Washington St
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
California
0%
0%
0%
0%

Pac-12 Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC