Pac-12 Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Pac-12 Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Pac-12 are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Pac-12 Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Washington 26 8 26 8 15 3 15 3
2 Arizona St 22 10 22 10 12 6 12 6
3 Utah 17 14 17 14 11 7 11 7
4 Oregon St 18 13 18 13 10 8 10 8
5 Colorado 21 12 21 12 10 8 10 8
6 Oregon 23 12 23 12 10 8 10 8
7 UCLA 17 16 17 16 9 9 9 9
8 USC 16 17 16 17 8 10 8 10
9 Arizona 17 15 17 15 8 10 8 10
10 Stanford 15 16 15 16 8 10 8 10
11 Washington St 11 21 11 21 4 14 4 14
12 California 8 23 8 23 3 15 3 15

Projected Pac-12 Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Pac-12 Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Washington 10 5.538
Arizona St 11 4.825
Oregon 12 4.618

Projected Pac-12 Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Pac-12 Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Washington 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Arizona St 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Utah 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
Oregon St 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Colorado 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Oregon 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
UCLA 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
USC 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Arizona 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stanford 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington St 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
California 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Pac-12 Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Pac-12 Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Pac-12 Men’s Basketball Tournament features a standard format with twelve teams, single elimination, at on an off-campus site.

Regular Season Champion: Washington
Tournament Site: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)
First Round: March 13th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 14th, 2019
Semifinals: March 15th, 2019
Finals: March 16th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Washington
100%
100%
100%
0%
2
Arizona St
100%
100%
0%
0%
3
Utah
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
Oregon St
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Colorado
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Oregon
100%
100%
100%
100%
7
UCLA
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
USC
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Arizona
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Stanford
0%
0%
0%
0%
11
Washington St
0%
0%
0%
0%
12
California
0%
0%
0%
0%

Pac-12 Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC