Pacific Tigers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Pacific Tigers. All of these projections for Pacific are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Pacific Record and Rankings

Record: 14-18
Projected Final Record: 14.0-18.0

WCC Conference Record: 4-12
Projected Final WCC Record: 4.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the WCC: 9

Pacific Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 199
RPI Rank: 187
NET Rank: 211
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-5 1-5 1-7 10-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.167 0.125 0.909

Our current projections give the Pacific Tigers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Pacific’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Pacific Tigers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Pacific Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 323 SIUE Away W 74-65
11/9 28 Nevada Away L 61-83
11/13 No Rank CS Stanislaus Home W 91-66
11/15 318 Idaho St Away W 83-76
11/20 156 UNLV Away L 70-96
11/22 316 UC Riverside Home W 74-54
11/23 140 Abilene Chr Home L 71-73
11/24 288 Elon Home W 65-57
11/28 86 Fresno St Away L 78-81
12/1 222 Air Force Home W 82-69
12/5 No Rank Permian Basin Home W 74-69
12/10 210 Long Beach St Home W 74-68
12/16 269 CS Northridge Away W 79-77
12/22 182 Boise St Away L 71-83
12/29 70 UC Irvine Home W 84-75
1/3 90 BYU Home L 87-90
1/5 102 San Diego Away L 64-73
1/10 7 Gonzaga Away L 36-67
1/12 329 Portland Away W 65-57
1/17 94 San Francisco Home L 52-53
1/19 172 Santa Clara Home L 57-69
1/26 329 Portland Home W 74-70
1/31 134 Loy Marymount Away L 42-60
2/2 167 Pepperdine Home W 66-59
2/7 39 St Mary’s CA Away L 66-78
2/9 90 BYU Away L 59-69
2/16 172 Santa Clara Away L 59-64
2/21 39 St Mary’s CA Home L 32-58
2/23 134 Loy Marymount Home L 56-63
2/28 7 Gonzaga Home L 66-86
3/2 167 Pepperdine Away W 73-72
3/7 167 Pepperdine Neutral L 53-61