These are the latest Patriot League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Patriot League are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 2/21/2019.
Patriot League Projected Standings
|Rank||Team||All Games||Conference Games||Actual||Projected||Actual||Projected|
Projected Patriot League Tournament Bids
Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Patriot League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.
Projected Patriot League Regular Season Finish
Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Patriot League Conference standings.
Patriot League Conference Tournament Predictions
Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Patriot League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Patriot League Men’s Conference Championship Tournament is held over nine days and follows a standard ten team format. The games are played on the campus of the higher seed over the course of the tournament.
Regular Season Champion: TBD
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
First Round: March 5th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 7th, 2019
Semifinals: March 10th, 2019
Finals: March 13th, 2019
|Seed||Team||To Advance To|
Patriot League Upcoming Conference Games with Projections
Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.
|Date||Away Team||Away Prob to Win||Home Team||Home Prob to Win||Game Projection|
|2/21||Navy||40.2%||Loyola MD||59.8%||Loyola MD wins by 4|
|2/23||Loyola MD||30.9%||Boston Univ||69.1%||Boston Univ wins by 6|
|2/23||Navy||14.3%||Colgate||85.7%||Colgate wins by 11|
|2/23||Lafayette||15.8%||Bucknell||84.2%||Bucknell wins by 11|
|2/24||Holy Cross||17.7%||Lehigh||82.3%||Lehigh wins by 10|
|2/24||American Univ||45.2%||Army||54.8%||Army wins by 2|
|2/27||Lehigh||59.2%||American Univ||40.9%||Lehigh wins by 3|
|2/27||Bucknell||66.4%||Navy||33.6%||Bucknell wins by 6|
|2/27||Boston Univ||44.5%||Lafayette||55.5%||Lafayette wins by 2|
|2/27||Holy Cross||18.9%||Colgate||81.1%||Colgate wins by 9|
|2/27||Loyola MD||32.8%||Army||67.2%||Army wins by 6|
|3/2||Navy||29.7%||Boston Univ||70.3%||Boston Univ wins by 7|
|3/2||Colgate||63.4%||Lafayette||36.6%||Colgate wins by 5|
|3/2||American Univ||43.5%||Holy Cross||56.5%||Holy Cross wins by 2|
|3/2||Army||17.2%||Bucknell||82.8%||Bucknell wins by 10|
|3/2||Lehigh||66.4%||Loyola MD||33.6%||Lehigh wins by 6|
Projections in Other Conferences
For other conferences, please see below.
|AAC||ACC||America East||Atlantic 10|
|Atlantic Sun||Big 12||Big East||Big Sky|
|Big South||Big Ten||Big West||Colonial|
|Conference USA||Horizon||Ivy League||MAAC|