Patriot League Basketball Projections 2018


These are the latest Patriot League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Patriot League are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/11/2018.

Patriot League Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Bucknell 25 9 25 9 19 2 19 2
2 Colgate 19 13 19 13 14 7 14 7
3 Navy 20 12 20 12 11 8 11 8
4 Lehigh 16 14 16 14 11 8 11 8
5 Boston Univ 15 16 15 16 11 9 11 9
6 Holy Cross 12 19 12 19 9 11 9 11
7 Lafayette 10 21 10 21 8 12 8 12
8 Loyola MD 9 22 9 22 7 13 7 13
9 Army 13 17 13 17 6 13 6 13
10 American Univ 6 24 6 24 3 16 3 16

Projected Patriot League Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Patriot League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Bucknell 14 1.693

Patriot League Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Patriot League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. Another caveat is that this simulation is based on the projected final seed of each Patriot League team. The Patriot League Men’s Conference Championship Tournament is held over nine days and follows a standard ten team format. The games are played on the campus of the higher seed over the course of the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: Bucknell
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
First Round: Feburary 27th, 2018
Quarterfinals: March 1st, 2018
Semifinals: March 4th, 2018
Finals: March 7th, 2018

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Bucknell
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Colgate
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Navy
100%
0%
0%
0%
4
Lehigh
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Boston Univ
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Holy Cross
100%
100%
0%
0%
7
Lafayette
100%
0%
0%
0%
8
Loyola MD
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Army
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
American Univ
0%
0%
0%
0%

Patriot League Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC