Patriot League Basketball Projections 2018-2019


These are the latest Patriot League Conference projections based on our NCAA College Basketball Ratings. These projections for the Patriot League are based on actual results of previous games and our predicted results for games upcoming in the future. The rank (or seed) for each team is only based upon their projected finish in the conference. Our latest update to these projections was done on 3/17/2019.

Patriot League Projected Standings

Rank Team All Games Conference Games
Actual Projected Actual Projected
Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses Wins Losses
1 Colgate 24 10 24 10 13 5 13 5
2 Bucknell 20 12 20 12 12 5 12 5
3 Lehigh 20 11 20 11 12 6 12 6
4 American Univ 15 15 15 15 9 9 9 9
5 Navy 12 18 12 18 8 9 8 9
6 Army 13 19 13 19 8 10 8 10
7 Lafayette 10 19 10 19 7 10 7 10
8 Boston Univ 15 18 15 18 7 11 7 11
9 Loyola MD 10 21 10 21 6 11 6 11
10 Holy Cross 16 17 16 17 6 12 6 12

Projected Patriot League Tournament Bids

Our full list of NCAA Tournament and NIT Tournament projections can be found here. The below list contains our latest NCAA Tournament projections for teams within the Patriot League Conference. The “Bracket Rating” is based on a proprietary formula that projects a team’s bracket seeding by the NCAA Tournament committee.

Team Seed Bracket Rating
Colgate 15 1.095

Projected Patriot League Regular Season Finish

Based on 100 simulations, this is the projected place where each team finishes in the Patriot League Conference standings.

Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Top 8
Colgate 100% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Bucknell 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Lehigh 0% 0% 100% 0% 100%
American Univ 0% 0% 0% 100% 100%
Navy 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Army 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Lafayette 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Boston Univ 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Loyola MD 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Patriot League Conference Tournament Predictions

Below are the odds to advance to each stage of the Patriot League Conference Tournament. The table below is based on 1,000 simulations. The Patriot League Men’s Conference Championship Tournament is held over nine days and follows a standard ten team format. The games are played on the campus of the higher seed over the course of the tournament.

Regular Season Champion: Colgate
Tournament Site: Campus Sites
First Round: March 5th, 2019
Quarterfinals: March 7th, 2019
Semifinals: March 10th, 2019
Finals: March 13th, 2019

Seed Team To Advance To
Qtrs Semis Finals To Win
1
Colgate
100%
100%
100%
100%
2
Bucknell
100%
100%
100%
0%
3
Lehigh
100%
100%
0%
0%
4
American Univ
100%
0%
0%
0%
5
Navy
100%
100%
0%
0%
6
Army
100%
0%
0%
0%
7
Lafayette
0%
0%
0%
0%
8
Boston Univ
100%
0%
0%
0%
9
Loyola MD
0%
0%
0%
0%
10
Holy Cross
100%
0%
0%
0%

Patriot League Upcoming Conference Games with Projections

Every projection takes into account the ability of each team, home court advantage, and other factors that make for accurate predictions.

Date Away Team Away Prob to Win Home Team Home Prob to Win Game Projection

Projections in Other Conferences

For other conferences, please see below.

AAC ACC America East Atlantic 10
Atlantic Sun Big 12 Big East Big Sky
Big South Big Ten Big West Colonial
Conference USA Horizon Ivy League MAAC
MAC MEAC MWC MVC
NEC OVC Pac-12 Patriot
Southern SEC Summit Southland
Southwestern Sun Belt WAC WCC