Penn Quakers Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Penn Quakers. All of these projections for Penn are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Penn Record and Rankings

Record: 19-12
Projected Final Record: 19.0-12.0

Ivy League Conference Record: 7-7
Projected Final Ivy League Record: 7.0-7.0
Projected Final Rank in the Ivy League: 4

Penn Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 126
RPI Rank: 105
NET Rank: 108
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-5 2-2 7-3 7-2
Win % by Tier 0.286 0.500 0.700 0.778

Our current projections give the Penn Quakers a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Penn’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Penn Quakers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Penn Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 150 George Mason Away W 72-71
11/9 237 Rice Home W 92-76
11/13 277 Lafayette Home W 91-61
11/16 169 Northern Iowa Neutal W 78-71
11/18 20 Kansas St Neutral L 48-64
11/19 91 Oregon St Neutral L 58-74
11/24 No Rank R Stockton Home W 112-63
11/27 353 Delaware St Away W 76-48
12/4 84 Miami FL Home W 89-75
12/8 221 La Salle Away W 83-65
12/11 22 Villanova Home W 78-75
12/22 191 New Mexico Away W 75-65
12/29 64 Toledo Away L 45-77
12/31 261 Monmouth NJ Home L 74-76
1/5 152 Princeton Away L 65-68
1/12 152 Princeton Home L 53-62
1/19 56 Temple Away W 77-70
1/26 178 St Joseph’s PA Neutal W 78-70
2/1 181 Cornell Away L 71-80
2/2 203 Columbia Away W 72-70
2/8 145 Brown Away W 92-82
2/9 83 Yale Away L 65-78
2/15 245 Dartmouth Home W 82-79
2/16 101 Harvard Home L 68-75
2/22 203 Columbia Home L 77-79
2/23 181 Cornell Home W 68-50
3/1 101 Harvard Away L 53-59
3/2 245 Dartmouth Away W 65-51
3/8 83 Yale Home W 77-66
3/9 145 Brown Home W 58-51
3/16 101 Harvard Neutral L 58-66