Portland State Vikings Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Portland State Vikings. All of these projections for Portland St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Portland St Record and Rankings

Record: 6-11
Projected Final Record: 12.2-18.8

Big Sky Conference Record: 1-5
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 7.2-12.8
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 10

Portland St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 305
RPI Rank: 292
NET Rank: 276
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 1-3 0-4 2-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.000 0.333

Our current projections give the Portland State Vikings a 0.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 99.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Portland St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.8%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Portland State Vikings. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Portland St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 79 Oregon Away L 57-84
11/10 306 UC Riverside Home W 71-64
11/17 No Rank Willamette Home W 125-61
11/23 132 UC Santa Barbara Neutral L 69-76
11/24 No Rank NW Nazarene Neutal W 91-75
11/28 130 Stanford Away L 67-79
12/1 No Rank Portland Bible Home W 123-40
12/5 316 Portland Home W 87-78
12/12 112 BYU Away L 66-85
12/15 143 Loy Marymount Home L 58-85
12/20 152 CS Bakersfield Home L 71-76
12/31 206 N Colorado Home L 60-73
1/3 269 Montana St Away L 88-98
1/5 142 Montana Away W 77-74
1/12 163 Weber St Home L 88-95
1/17 234 Southern Utah Away L 69-83
1/19 296 Northern Arizona Away L 75-82
1/24 291 E Washington Home 57.8%
1/26 338 Idaho Home 80.6%
1/31 163 Weber St Away 9.7%
2/2 258 Idaho St Away 25.2%
2/7 206 N Colorado Away 16.2%
2/11 293 CS Sacramento Away 36.2%
2/14 296 Northern Arizona Home 60.1%
2/16 234 Southern Utah Home 48.2%
2/21 258 Idaho St Home 51.5%
2/23 293 CS Sacramento Home 58.8%
2/28 338 Idaho Away 53.7%
3/2 291 E Washington Away 35.5%
3/7 142 Montana Home 28.8%
3/9 269 Montana St Home 53.3%