Purdue Boilermakers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Purdue Boilermakers. All of these projections for Purdue are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/21/2018.

Purdue Record and Rankings

Record: 24-5
Projected Final Record: 25.7-5.3

Big Ten Conference Record: 13-3
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 14.7-3.3
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 2

Purdue Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 7
RPI Rank: 11
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 2 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 6-3 4-2 7-0 7-0
Win % by Tier 0.667 0.667 1.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Purdue Boilermakers a 100.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Purdue’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 17.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 57.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 20.8%
NCAA #4 Seed 4.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Purdue Boilermakers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Purdue Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 293 Edwardsville Home W 105-74
11/12 348 Chicago St Home W 111-42
11/14 47 Marquette Away W 86-71
11/18 228 Fairfield Home W 106-64
11/22 15 Tennessee Nassau, Bahamas L 75-78
11/23 70 WKU Nassau, Bahamas L 73-77
11/24 18 Arizona Nassau, Bahamas W 89-64
11/28 41 Louisville Home W 66-57
12/1 53 Maryland Away W 80-75
12/3 83 Northwestern Home W 74-69
12/7 164 Valparaiso Home W 80-50
12/10 305 IUPUI Home W 86-61
12/16 29 Butler Indianapolis, IN W 82-67
12/21 190 Tennessee St Home W 97-48
12/30 165 Lipscomb Home W 98-66
1/3 147 Rutgers Home W 82-51
1/6 42 Nebraska Home W 74-62
1/9 20 Michigan Away W 70-69
1/13 96 Minnesota Away W 81-47
1/16 93 Wisconsin Home W 78-50
1/20 110 Iowa Away W 87-64
1/25 20 Michigan Home W 92-88
1/28 76 Indiana Away W 74-67
1/31 53 Maryland Home W 75-67
2/3 147 Rutgers Away W 78-76
2/7 14 Ohio St Home L 63-64
2/10 4 Michigan St Away L 65-68
2/15 93 Wisconsin Away L 53-57
2/18 46 Penn St Home W 76-73
2/22 121 Illinois Away 79.4%
2/25 96 Minnesota Home 92.6%