Purdue Boilermakers Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Purdue Boilermakers. All of these projections for Purdue are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Purdue Record and Rankings

Record: 2-0
Projected Final Record: 17.4-11.6

Big Ten Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 10.4-9.6
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 7

Purdue Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 14
RPI Rank: 1
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 2 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Purdue Boilermakers a 94.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 2.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 3.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Purdue’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 3.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 1.8%
NCAA #3 Seed 24.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 36.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 14.6%
NCAA #6 Seed 7.2%
NCAA #7 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.6%
NCAA #9 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 1.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.4%
NIT #4 Seed 0.6%
NIT #5 Seed 1.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Purdue Boilermakers. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Purdue Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 133 Fairfield Home W 90-57
11/10 99 Ball St Home W 84-75
11/15 174 Appalachian St Neutal 89%
11/23 309 Robert Morris Home 98.9%
11/28 10 Florida St Away 23.3%
12/1 9 Michigan Away 29.7%
12/6 37 Maryland Home 70.3%
12/9 54 Texas Away 53.7%
12/15 41 Notre Dame Neutal 60%
12/20 156 Ohio Home 92.2%
12/29 101 Belmont Home 87.5%
1/3 84 Iowa Home 85.2%
1/8 12 Michigan St Away 24.3%
1/11 39 Wisconsin Away 42.7%
1/15 65 Rutgers Home 80.6%
1/19 20 Indiana Home 52.6%
1/23 8 Ohio St Away 23.8%
1/27 12 Michigan St Home 51.5%
1/31 17 Penn St Away 35.9%
2/3 109 Minnesota Home 88.1%
2/9 13 Nebraska Home 55.1%
2/12 37 Maryland Away 44.1%
2/16 17 Penn St Home 60.1%
2/19 20 Indiana Away 25.7%
2/23 13 Nebraska Away 28.6%
2/27 45 Illinois Home 71%
3/2 8 Ohio St Home 51.5%
3/5 109 Minnesota Away 62.8%
3/9 67 Northwestern Away 54%