Radford Highlanders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Radford Highlanders. All of these projections for Radford are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 12/10/2018.

Radford Record and Rankings

Record: 6-3
Projected Final Record: 20.9-9.1

Big South Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Big South Record: 10.2-2.8
Projected Final Rank in the Big South: 1

Radford Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 113
RPI Rank: 60
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-0 1-2 0-1 2-0
Win % by Tier 1.000 0.333 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Radford Highlanders a 43.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 26.6% chance at an NIT bid and a 30.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Radford’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 4.2%
NCAA #13 Seed 19.2%
NCAA #14 Seed 16.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 3.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.4%
NIT #6 Seed 5.2%
NIT #7 Seed 17.0%
NIT #8 Seed 3.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Radford Highlanders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Radford Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank Davis & Elkins Home W 91-57
11/9 173 IL Chicago Home W 88-78
11/14 79 Notre Dame Away W 63-60
11/17 136 Duquesne Neutral L 64-69
11/20 215 William & Mary Away W 81-72
11/26 No Rank Glenville St Home W 102-69
11/30 46 Texas Away W 62-59
12/4 246 James Madison Away L 66-73
12/8 143 Ohio Away L 69-78
12/15 57 Clemson Away 19.1%
12/18 86 UNC Greensboro Away 29%
12/21 99 Ga Southern Home 56.3%
12/29 28 Maryland Away 13.4%
1/1 No Rank Mars Hill Home 98.7%
1/5 263 Longwood Home 91.1%
1/10 318 SC Upstate Away 82.8%
1/12 294 Presbyterian Home 92.6%
1/17 181 Gardner Webb Home 81.8%
1/19 349 UNC Asheville Away 93.3%
1/21 263 Longwood Away 69.1%
1/24 275 Charleston So Home 91.4%
1/30 203 Campbell Home 84.5%
2/2 193 Winthrop Away 59.2%
2/7 300 Hampton Away 76.7%
2/9 224 High Point Home 85.4%
2/16 275 Charleston So Away 69.1%
2/21 193 Winthrop Home 81.8%
2/23 300 Hampton Home 91.8%
2/27 224 High Point Away 61.8%
3/2 203 Campbell Away 60.1%