Rhode Island Rams Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Rhode Island Rams. All of these projections for Rhode Island are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Rhode Island Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 21.8-6.2

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 14.4-3.6
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 1

Rhode Island Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 47
RPI Rank: 218
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Rhode Island Rams a 59.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 41.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rhode Island’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #5 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 43.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 4.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 2.0%
NIT #3 Seed 5.8%
NIT #4 Seed 8.8%
NIT #5 Seed 15.8%
NIT #6 Seed 7.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rhode Island Rams. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rhode Island Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 350 Bryant Home W 97-63
11/13 82 Col Charleston Away 56.5%
11/16 147 Harvard Home 87.5%
11/24 166 Stony Brook Home 92%
11/28 273 Brown Home 96.4%
12/1 71 Providence Away 50.4%
12/8 167 Holy Cross Away 72.9%
12/16 44 West Virginia Neutral 51.9%
12/22 95 Bucknell Neutal 68.5%
12/30 34 MTSU Home 57.5%
1/6 146 St Louis Away 69.9%
1/9 199 Richmond Away 79.7%
1/13 207 George Mason Home 92.2%
1/16 90 St Bonaventure Home 77.2%
1/19 209 La Salle Away 77.2%
1/23 144 VA Commonwealth Home 87.5%
1/27 218 Massachusetts Away 82.8%
1/30 175 Duquesne Away 74.3%
2/2 146 St Louis Home 87.8%
2/6 97 Davidson Away 60.1%
2/9 179 Dayton Home 91.8%
2/16 319 Fordham Home 98.7%
2/19 144 VA Commonwealth Away 69.1%
2/22 97 Davidson Home 81.6%
2/26 252 G Washington Home 93%
3/1 179 Dayton Away 77.2%
3/5 76 St Joseph’s PA Away 50%
3/9 218 Massachusetts Home 93%