Rhode Island Rams Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Rhode Island Rams. All of these projections for Rhode Island are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Rhode Island Record and Rankings

Record: 10-7
Projected Final Record: 16.6-13.4

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 3-2
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 9.6-8.4
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 7

Rhode Island Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 129
RPI Rank: 115
NET Rank: 128
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 1-3 3-3 6-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.250 0.500 1.000

Our current projections give the Rhode Island Rams a 5.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 5.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 89.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rhode Island’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #13 Seed 1.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 1.4%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.6%
NIT #2 Seed 0.8%
NIT #3 Seed 0.8%
NIT #4 Seed 1.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.8%
NIT #6 Seed 0.2%
NIT #7 Seed 0.8%
NIT #8 Seed 0.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rhode Island Rams. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rhode Island Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 317 Bryant Home W 97-63
11/13 120 Col Charleston Away L 55-66
11/16 145 Harvard Home W 76-74
11/24 110 Stony Brook Home L 58-68
11/28 135 Brown Home W 71-51
12/1 80 Providence Away L 50-59
12/8 184 Holy Cross Away W 79-63
12/16 84 West Virginia Neutal W 83-70
12/22 138 Bucknell Neutral L 82-84
12/23 238 Charlotte Neutal W 75-61
12/24 170 Hawaii Neutral L 60-68
12/30 292 MTSU Home W 72-60
1/6 64 St Louis Away L 53-60
1/9 229 Richmond Away W 78-67
1/13 137 George Mason Home L 67-84
1/16 195 St Bonaventure Home W 75-63
1/19 275 La Salle Away W 78-67
1/23 52 VA Commonwealth Home 39.5%
1/27 197 Massachusetts Away 60.5%
1/30 139 Duquesne Away 48.9%
2/2 64 St Louis Home 44.1%
2/6 69 Davidson Away 24.7%
2/9 70 Dayton Home 44.3%
2/16 235 Fordham Home 85.2%
2/19 52 VA Commonwealth Away 18.9%
2/22 69 Davidson Home 45.6%
2/26 249 G Washington Home 86.6%
3/1 70 Dayton Away 24.7%
3/5 168 St Joseph’s PA Away 52.2%
3/9 197 Massachusetts Home 80.9%