Rice Owls Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Rice Owls. All of these projections for Rice are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Rice Record and Rankings

Record: 7-12
Projected Final Record: 9.6-17.4

CUSA Conference Record: 2-4
Projected Final CUSA Record: 4.6-9.4
Projected Final Rank in the CUSA: 12

Rice Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 254
RPI Rank: 236
NET Rank: 232
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-5 3-2 2-3
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.600 0.400

Our current projections give the Rice Owls a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rice’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rice Owls. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rice Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank St Leo Home W 80-64
11/9 111 Penn Away L 76-92
11/12 346 Alabama A&M Home W 73-59
11/14 13 Houston Away L 68-79
11/17 328 Northwestern LA Home W 102-74
11/21 112 BYU Away L 78-105
11/25 115 Wichita St Away L 61-90
11/28 98 Texas St Away L 60-74
12/1 283 Lamar Home L 68-75
12/13 No Rank St Edward’s Home W 78-73
12/15 132 UC Santa Barbara Home L 89-99
12/18 191 UTRGV Away W 75-67
12/21 187 NE Omaha Home L 66-83
12/29 90 North Texas Home L 87-103
1/3 157 Southern Miss Home W 73-65
1/5 136 Louisiana Tech Home W 78-66
1/10 181 UT San Antonio Away L 79-95
1/12 286 UTEP Away L 64-65
1/19 90 North Texas Away L 75-76
1/24 292 MTSU Home 73.3%
1/26 155 UAB Home 39.5%
1/31 238 Charlotte Away 35.5%
2/2 92 Old Dominion Away 7.8%
2/7 127 WKU Home 32.8%
2/9 99 Marshall Home 30.1%
2/14 177 Florida Intl Away 18.4%
2/16 186 FL Atlantic Away 20.6%