Richmond Spiders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Richmond Spiders. All of these projections for Richmond are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

Richmond Record and Rankings

Record: 13-20
Projected Final Record: 13.0-20.0

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 6-12
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 6.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 11

Richmond Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 208
RPI Rank: 250
NET Rank: 195
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 1-4 1-5 11-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.200 0.167 0.611

Our current projections give the Richmond Spiders a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Richmond’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Richmond Spiders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Richmond Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 295 Longwood Home L 58-63
11/14 272 St Francis NY Home W 88-66
11/16 216 IUPUI Home W 78-70
11/19 130 Loyola-Chicago Neutral L 66-82
11/21 315 Wyoming Neutral L 66-68
11/25 226 Hampton Home L 66-86
11/28 68 Georgetown Away L 82-90
12/1 151 Wake Forest Home W 84-74
12/5 340 Coppin St Home W 82-47
12/15 292 Oral Roberts Home L 52-59
12/19 87 Old Dominion Home L 54-63
12/22 229 High Point Neutal W 74-59
12/29 207 South Alabama Away W 91-82
1/6 81 Dayton Away L 48-72
1/9 129 Rhode Island Home L 67-78
1/12 276 G Washington Away W 76-56
1/16 160 Duquesne Home L 68-74
1/19 75 Davidson Away L 62-75
1/23 178 St Joseph’s PA Away L 70-74
1/26 125 St Bonaventure Home L 57-66
1/30 98 St Louis Away W 84-81
2/2 221 La Salle Home L 58-66
2/6 150 George Mason Home W 81-67
2/9 276 G Washington Home W 89-63
2/13 47 VA Commonwealth Away L 60-81
2/20 265 Fordham Home W 72-69
2/23 221 La Salle Away W 84-75
2/27 150 George Mason Away L 63-77
3/2 47 VA Commonwealth Home L 66-69
3/6 239 Massachusetts Away L 79-87
3/9 75 Davidson Home L 69-73
3/13 265 Fordham Neutal W 52-50
3/14 98 St Louis Neutral L 68-71