Richmond Spiders Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Richmond Spiders. All of these projections for Richmond are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Richmond Record and Rankings

Record: 7-10
Projected Final Record: 11.9-19.1

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 1-3
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 5.9-12.1
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 10

Richmond Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 228
RPI Rank: 262
NET Rank: 210
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-2 0-4 7-4
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.636

Our current projections give the Richmond Spiders a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Richmond’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Richmond Spiders. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Richmond Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 221 Longwood Home L 58-63
11/14 234 St Francis NY Home W 88-66
11/16 201 IUPUI Home W 78-70
11/19 111 Loyola-Chicago Neutral L 66-82
11/21 307 Wyoming Neutral L 66-68
11/25 293 Hampton Home L 66-86
11/28 85 Georgetown Away L 82-90
12/1 166 Wake Forest Home W 84-74
12/5 348 Coppin St Home W 82-47
12/15 276 Oral Roberts Home L 52-59
12/19 95 Old Dominion Home L 54-63
12/22 209 High Point Neutal W 74-59
12/29 265 South Alabama Away W 91-82
1/6 73 Dayton Away L 48-72
1/9 134 Rhode Island Home L 67-78
1/12 252 G Washington Away W 76-56
1/16 141 Duquesne Home L 68-74
1/19 72 Davidson Away 9.7%
1/23 164 St Joseph’s PA Away 21.3%
1/26 199 St Bonaventure Home 52.2%
1/30 67 St Louis Away 10.3%
2/2 272 La Salle Home 67.2%
2/6 135 George Mason Home 39.5%
2/9 252 G Washington Home 67.2%
2/13 53 VA Commonwealth Away 8.2%
2/20 239 Fordham Home 62.1%
2/23 272 La Salle Away 47.1%
2/27 135 George Mason Away 18.4%
3/2 53 VA Commonwealth Home 25.2%
3/6 195 Massachusetts Away 33.2%
3/9 72 Davidson Home 32.8%