Rider Broncs Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Rider Broncs. All of these projections for Rider are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Rider Record and Rankings

Record: 10-7
Projected Final Record: 19.7-10.3

MAAC Conference Record: 5-0
Projected Final MAAC Record: 14.7-3.3
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 1

Rider Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 169
RPI Rank: 126
NET Rank: 155
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-4 0-1 3-0 7-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.778

Our current projections give the Rider Broncs a 45.2% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 50.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 4.8% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rider’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 7.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 30.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 6.6%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.4%
NIT #7 Seed 9.0%
NIT #8 Seed 40.6%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rider Broncs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rider Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 46 UCF Away L 70-84
11/19 344 Coppin St Home W 87-67
11/24 245 Wagner Away W 89-65
11/28 84 West Virginia Away L 78-92
12/8 58 Hofstra Away L 73-89
12/12 259 Norfolk St Home W 81-71
12/15 262 Robert Morris Home W 69-50
12/17 208 Washington St Away L 80-94
12/19 118 Drake Away L 58-76
12/22 206 N Colorado Neutal W 74-67
12/23 279 CS Northridge Neutral L 80-81
12/30 52 VA Commonwealth Away L 79-90
1/3 289 Fairfield Away W 83-82
1/5 263 Quinnipiac Home W 72-67
1/11 233 Canisius Away W 82-73
1/13 280 Niagara Away W 104-84
1/19 333 Manhattan Home W 60-47
1/25 227 Iona Away 55.5%
1/27 288 Marist Home 86.4%
1/31 314 St Peter’s Home 90.3%
2/2 265 Monmouth NJ Away 60.1%
2/5 333 Manhattan Away 78.2%
2/8 233 Canisius Home 81.6%
2/10 260 Siena Home 83.5%
2/12 263 Quinnipiac Away 58.8%
2/15 265 Monmouth NJ Home 84%
2/17 314 St Peter’s Away 66.4%
2/22 280 Niagara Home 85.7%
3/1 227 Iona Home 78.7%
3/3 288 Marist Away 61.5%