Rider Broncs Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Rider Broncs. All of these projections for Rider are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/19/2018.

Rider Record and Rankings

Record: 22-10
Projected Final Record: 22.0-10.0

MAAC Conference Record: 15-4
Projected Final MAAC Record: 15.0-4.0
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 1

Rider Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 127
RPI Rank: 69
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 1-2 8-3 13-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.333 0.727 0.867

Our current projections give the Rider Broncs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rider’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 42.8%
NIT #7 Seed 57.2%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rider Broncs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rider Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/10 261 Hampton Home W 90-75
11/13 8 Xavier Away L 75-101
11/15 201 Hartford Home W 89-53
11/20 175 G Washington Away W 67-65
11/23 148 UC Irvine Las Vegas, NV W 90-82
11/24 261 Hampton Las Vegas, NV W 94-80
11/29 48 Providence Away L 84-88
12/2 225 Drexel Away L 77-89
12/6 255 Robert Morris Away L 75-78
12/9 146 Hofstra Home L 82-88
12/16 179 Wagner Home W 90-84
12/22 50 Penn St Away W 71-70
12/29 139 Canisius Away L 76-77
12/31 189 Niagara Away W 99-76
1/5 205 Fairfield Home W 96-77
1/7 226 Manhattan Away W 82-76
1/12 280 Quinnipiac Home W 78-60
1/14 153 Iona Away L 64-91
1/18 233 St Peter’s Away W 88-84
1/20 323 Marist Home W 60-57
1/23 205 Fairfield Away W 90-88
1/26 233 St Peter’s Home W 63-60
1/29 214 Monmouth NJ Home W 92-85
2/4 280 Quinnipiac Away W 74-59
2/8 226 Manhattan Home W 77-73
2/10 323 Marist Away W 89-79
2/15 312 Siena Home W 97-71
2/18 139 Canisius Home W 83-82
2/22 214 Monmouth NJ Away L 77-91
2/25 153 Iona Home W 110-101
3/2 233 St Peter’s Albany, NY L 55-66
3/13 60 Oregon Away L 86-99