Rider Broncs Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Rider Broncs. All of these projections for Rider are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

Rider Record and Rankings

Record: 0-1
Projected Final Record: 15.2-13.8

MAAC Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final MAAC Record: 10.3-7.7
Projected Final Rank in the MAAC: 4

Rider Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 178
RPI Rank: 298
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

Our current projections give the Rider Broncs a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 100.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 0.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rider’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 1.2%
NIT #6 Seed 55.0%
NIT #7 Seed 42.6%
NIT #8 Seed 1.2%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rider Broncs. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rider Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 131 UCF Away L 70-84
11/19 349 Coppin St Home 98.6%
11/24 260 Wagner Away 59.2%
11/28 44 West Virginia Away 8%
12/8 115 Hofstra Away 18.2%
12/12 251 Norfolk St Home 81.6%
12/15 309 Robert Morris Home 91.8%
12/17 142 Washington St Away 33.2%
12/19 171 Drake Away 37.6%
12/22 111 N Colorado Neutal 33.1%
12/30 144 VA Commonwealth Away 29.7%
1/3 133 Fairfield Away 32.4%
1/5 254 Quinnipiac Home 82.6%
1/11 122 Canisius Away 18.4%
1/13 187 Niagara Away 42.7%
1/19 272 Manhattan Home 84.2%
1/25 140 Iona Away 30.1%
1/27 281 Marist Home 84.5%
1/31 212 St Peter’s Home 68.7%
2/2 240 Monmouth NJ Away 48.5%
2/5 272 Manhattan Away 59.5%
2/8 122 Canisius Home 43.5%
2/10 246 Siena Home 80.4%
2/12 254 Quinnipiac Away 57.1%
2/15 240 Monmouth NJ Home 73.3%
2/17 212 St Peter’s Away 44.5%
2/22 187 Niagara Home 64.9%
3/1 140 Iona Home 54.4%
3/3 281 Marist Away 59.5%