Robert Morris Colonials Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Robert Morris Colonials. All of these projections for Robert Morris are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

Robert Morris Record and Rankings

Record: 9-9
Projected Final Record: 15.7-15.3

NEC Conference Record: 4-1
Projected Final NEC Record: 10.7-7.3
Projected Final Rank in the NEC: 1

Robert Morris Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 262
RPI Rank: 254
NET Rank: 286
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-1 1-5 6-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.167 0.857

Our current projections give the Robert Morris Colonials a 15.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 84.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Robert Morris’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #16 Seed 15.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Robert Morris Colonials. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Robert Morris Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 109 USC Away L 62-83
11/9 196 Missouri St Away L 60-74
11/14 No Rank Mt Aloysius Home W 104-57
11/17 349 MS Valley St Home W 68-59
11/19 345 Stetson Away W 81-72
11/23 15 Purdue Away L 46-84
11/28 301 Youngstown St Home W 76-56
12/1 223 Drexel Away L 69-82
12/5 233 Canisius Away L 62-68
12/8 260 Siena Home L 71-74
12/15 169 Rider Away L 50-69
12/21 21 Louisville Away L 59-73
12/29 No Rank Hood Home W 108-51
1/3 268 F Dickinson Home W 69-62
1/5 324 Mt St Mary’s Home W 62-59
1/10 219 St Francis NY Away W 52-49
1/12 253 LIU Brooklyn Away L 73-80
1/19 317 Bryant Away W 79-65
1/21 247 Central Conn Away 36.2%
1/24 248 Sacred Heart Home 57.8%
1/26 245 Wagner Home 57.8%
1/31 243 St Francis PA Home 57.5%
2/2 268 F Dickinson Away 37.9%
2/7 317 Bryant Home 80.4%
2/9 247 Central Conn Home 58.2%
2/14 324 Mt St Mary’s Away 56.5%
2/16 243 St Francis PA Away 36.2%
2/21 253 LIU Brooklyn Home 59.2%
2/23 219 St Francis NY Home 56.5%
2/28 248 Sacred Heart Away 36.9%
3/2 245 Wagner Away 36.9%