Rutgers Scarlet Knights Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. All of these projections for Rutgers are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Rutgers Record and Rankings

Record: 8-8
Projected Final Record: 11.8-18.2

Big Ten Conference Record: 1-5
Projected Final Big Ten Record: 4.8-15.2
Projected Final Rank in the Big Ten: 13

Rutgers Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 113
RPI Rank: 136
NET Rank: 136
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-6 2-1 1-0 5-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.667 1.000 0.833

Our current projections give the Rutgers Scarlet Knights a 3.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 7.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 89.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Rutgers’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.4%
NIT #2 Seed 0.4%
NIT #3 Seed 1.6%
NIT #4 Seed 1.2%
NIT #5 Seed 2.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.8%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Rutgers Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 255 F Dickinson Home W 90-55
11/11 231 Drexel Home W 95-66
11/16 34 St John’s Home L 65-84
11/19 167 E Michigan Home W 63-36
11/23 237 Boston Univ Home W 54-44
11/28 91 Miami FL Away W 57-54
11/30 4 Michigan St Home L 67-78
12/3 30 Wisconsin Away L 64-69
12/8 239 Fordham Away L 70-78
12/15 38 Seton Hall Away L 66-72
12/22 278 Columbia Home W 68-65
12/29 321 Maine Home W 70-55
1/5 15 Maryland Home L 63-77
1/9 33 Ohio St Home W 64-61
1/12 45 Minnesota Away L 70-88
1/15 19 Purdue Away L 54-89
1/18 60 Northwestern Home 47.1%
1/21 14 Nebraska Home 26.6%
1/26 86 Penn St Away 25.2%
1/30 31 Indiana Home 38.2%
2/2 33 Ohio St Away 13%
2/5 2 Michigan Home 10.6%
2/9 123 Illinois Away 36.9%
2/13 60 Northwestern Away 20.8%
2/16 25 Iowa Home 37.2%
2/20 4 Michigan St Away 3.6%
2/24 45 Minnesota Home 43.5%
3/2 25 Iowa Away 13%
3/6 86 Penn St Home 52.6%
3/10 31 Indiana Away 14.1%