Sacramento State Hornets Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Sacramento State Hornets. All of these projections for CS Sacramento are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 3/17/2019.

CS Sacramento Record and Rankings

Record: 15-16
Projected Final Record: 15.0-16.0

Big Sky Conference Record: 8-12
Projected Final Big Sky Record: 8.0-12.0
Projected Final Rank in the Big Sky: 9

CS Sacramento Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 278
RPI Rank: 261
NET Rank: 272
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-1 0-2 1-6 11-7
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.143 0.611

Our current projections give the Sacramento State Hornets a 0.0% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 100.0% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account CS Sacramento’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Sacramento State Hornets. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

CS Sacramento Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 No Rank Simpson CA Home W 76-52
11/20 260 UC Davis Neutal W 58-55
11/24 190 CS Fullerton Home W 87-82
11/29 176 UC Santa Barbara Away L 58-75
12/1 269 CS Northridge Away W 88-68
12/8 329 Portland Away L 67-76
12/11 No Rank Holy Names Home W 81-56
12/13 No Rank Westcliff Home W 89-40
12/21 42 Washington Away L 41-57
12/29 194 N Colorado Home L 65-70
1/3 136 Montana Away L 56-87
1/5 250 Montana St Away L 70-84
1/12 318 Idaho St Home L 70-72
1/17 304 Northern Arizona Away W 66-64
1/19 266 Southern Utah Away L 71-76
1/24 345 Idaho Home W 69-48
1/26 233 E Washington Home L 92-94
1/31 318 Idaho St Away W 74-58
2/2 217 Weber St Away L 65-75
2/9 194 N Colorado Away L 59-65
2/11 264 Portland St Home W 78-67
2/14 266 Southern Utah Home W 84-73
2/16 304 Northern Arizona Home L 66-78
2/21 217 Weber St Home W 78-76
2/23 264 Portland St Away L 57-65
2/28 233 E Washington Away W 59-56
3/2 345 Idaho Away L 90-94
3/7 250 Montana St Home W 70-67
3/9 136 Montana Home L 68-86
3/13 304 Northern Arizona Neutal W 72-60
3/14 136 Montana Neutral L 73-79