Saint Joseph’s Hawks Projections 2018


These are the latest projections for the Saint Joseph’s Hawks. All of these projections for St Joseph’s PA are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 11/12/2018.

St Joseph’s PA Record and Rankings

Record: 1-0
Projected Final Record: 21.0-8.0

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 0-0
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 13.2-4.8
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 2

St Joseph’s PA Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 76
RPI Rank: 13
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 12 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000

Our current projections give the Saint Joseph’s Hawks a 0.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 2.4% chance at an NIT bid and a 97.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Joseph’s PA’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 0.2%
NIT #2 Seed 0.6%
NIT #3 Seed 0.6%
NIT #4 Seed 0.4%
NIT #5 Seed 0.6%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Saint Joseph’s Hawks. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Joseph’s PA Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/9 78 Old Dominion Home W 79-64
11/12 240 Monmouth NJ Home 92.2%
11/15 103 Wake Forest Neutral 59.7%
11/24 182 William & Mary Away 68.3%
11/28 200 IL Chicago Home 91.8%
12/1 116 Temple Neutral 65.2%
12/5 228 Princeton Away 77.2%
12/8 2 Villanova Away 7.4%
12/22 61 Loyola-Chicago Home 59.8%
12/29 260 Wagner Home 93.4%
1/3 207 George Mason Home 89.4%
1/6 252 G Washington Home 92.2%
1/9 90 St Bonaventure Away 47.1%
1/12 175 Duquesne Away 66%
1/15 97 Davidson Home 73.3%
1/18 146 St Louis Away 63.4%
1/23 199 Richmond Home 88.3%
1/26 100 Penn Neutal 63.5%
1/29 179 Dayton Away 67.2%
2/2 218 Massachusetts Home 92%
2/5 209 La Salle Away 68%
2/8 146 St Louis Home 84%
2/12 90 St Bonaventure Home 65.6%
2/15 97 Davidson Away 54.4%
2/23 218 Massachusetts Away 79.2%
2/27 319 Fordham Away 92.1%
3/2 209 La Salle Home 86.6%
3/5 47 Rhode Island Home 50%
3/8 144 VA Commonwealth Away 63.4%