Saint Louis University Billikens Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Saint Louis University Billikens. All of these projections for St Louis are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/20/2019.

St Louis Record and Rankings

Record: 14-4
Projected Final Record: 22.6-8.4

Atlantic 10 Conference Record: 5-0
Projected Final Atlantic 10 Record: 13.6-4.4
Projected Final Rank in the Atlantic 10: 2

St Louis Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 64
RPI Rank: 61
NET Rank: 64
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 1-2 1-1 3-1 9-0
Win % by Tier 0.333 0.500 0.750 1.000

Our current projections give the Saint Louis University Billikens a 22.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 52.2% chance at an NIT bid and a 25.4% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account St Louis’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #11 Seed 2.4%
NCAA #12 Seed 12.6%
NCAA #13 Seed 2.8%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 0.6%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.0%
NIT #1 Seed 8.2%
NIT #2 Seed 9.2%
NIT #3 Seed 8.8%
NIT #4 Seed 11.0%
NIT #5 Seed 9.6%
NIT #6 Seed 4.6%
NIT #7 Seed 0.8%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Saint Louis University Billikens. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

St Louis Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 319 SE Missouri St Home W 75-65
11/10 183 Troy Home W 62-58
11/13 290 North Alabama Home W 69-58
11/17 48 Seton Hall Away W 66-64
11/21 65 Pittsburgh Neutral L 73-75
11/24 237 Cent Arkansas Home W 73-61
12/1 42 Butler Home W 64-52
12/5 148 S Illinois Away L 56-61
12/9 67 Oregon St Home W 65-61
12/16 13 Houston Away L 64-68
12/19 329 NC Central Home W 74-65
12/22 27 Florida St Neutral L 59-81
12/30 303 Appalachian St Home W 83-55
1/6 129 Rhode Island Home W 60-53
1/9 197 Massachusetts Home W 65-62
1/12 275 La Salle Away W 71-64
1/15 235 Fordham Away W 63-60
1/18 168 St Joseph’s PA Home W 68-57
1/23 139 Duquesne Away 61.1%
1/26 69 Davidson Home 60.1%
1/30 229 Richmond Home 91.8%
2/2 129 Rhode Island Away 55.9%
2/5 70 Dayton Home 58.8%
2/8 168 St Joseph’s PA Away 62.8%
2/13 249 G Washington Away 80.9%
2/16 275 La Salle Home 92.6%
2/23 70 Dayton Away 40.9%
2/26 52 VA Commonwealth Away 34%
3/2 137 George Mason Home 79.2%
3/6 139 Duquesne Home 81.6%
3/9 195 St Bonaventure Away 65.3%