Sam Houston State Bearkats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Sam Houston State Bearkats. All of these projections for Sam Houston St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 1/17/2019.

Sam Houston St Record and Rankings

Record: 9-8
Projected Final Record: 18.1-12.9

Southland Conference Record: 4-0
Projected Final Southland Record: 13.1-4.9
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 2

Sam Houston St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 184
RPI Rank: 209
NET Rank: 201
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: Out

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-3 0-2 2-1 4-2
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.667 0.667

Our current projections give the Sam Houston State Bearkats a 24.8% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 75.2% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Sam Houston St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #14 Seed 0.2%
NCAA #15 Seed 14.4%
NCAA #16 Seed 10.2%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Sam Houston State Bearkats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Sam Houston St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank E Texas Bap Home W 85-64
11/8 No Rank SW Univ TX Home W 94-56
11/11 114 Louisiana Tech Away L 69-76
11/14 42 Clemson Away L 59-74
11/16 84 Georgia Away L 64-75
11/19 327 Jackson St Neutal W 75-60
11/20 55 ETSU Away L 63-77
11/28 120 C Michigan Home L 65-81
12/1 248 Ark Little Rock Away L 52-79
12/8 212 Colorado St Away L 65-71
12/18 315 Alabama St Home W 78-57
12/22 103 Utah Valley Away L 79-85
12/31 No Rank TX Lutheran Home W 84-54
1/5 140 Abilene Chr Home W 71-68
1/9 245 Cent Arkansas Away W 78-69
1/12 337 Incarnate Word Home W 66-52
1/16 280 TAM C. Christi Home W 72-50
1/19 242 Houston Bap Away 54.8%
1/23 330 Northwestern LA Away 72.5%
1/26 277 Lamar Home 80.9%
1/30 320 SE Louisiana Away 65.3%
2/2 257 SF Austin Home 78.7%
2/6 298 McNeese St Home 82.6%
2/9 140 Abilene Chr Away 30.1%
2/13 280 TAM C. Christi Away 58.5%
2/16 277 Lamar Away 58.5%
2/20 284 Nicholls St Home 81.8%
2/23 242 Houston Bap Home 72.3%
2/27 208 New Orleans Away 45.6%
3/6 245 Cent Arkansas Home 73.3%
3/9 257 SF Austin Away 56.3%