Sam Houston State Bearkats Projections 2019


These are the latest projections for the Sam Houston State Bearkats. All of these projections for Sam Houston St are based on our proprietary ratings and data that is known to be predictive. This page was last updated on 2/14/2019.

Sam Houston St Record and Rankings

Record: 17-8
Projected Final Record: 21.6-9.4

Southland Conference Record: 12-0
Projected Final Southland Record: 16.6-1.4
Projected Final Rank in the Southland: 1

Sam Houston St Bracket Projections and Tournament Resume

DRatings Overall Rank: 146
RPI Rank: 143
NET Rank: 170
Current NCAA Bracket Projection: 16 Seed

Starting in the 2017-2018 season, the NCAA tournament committee will begin to use the “tier system” to help determine tournament bids. In prior years, the four buckets were based on wins and losses against the RPI 1-50, 51-100, 101-200, and 201+. Now, the tier system accounts for the home, neutral and away site variable.

Tier 1: vs. RPI 1-30 (home), vs. RPI 1-50 (neutral site), vs. RPI 1-75 (away)
Tier 2: vs. RPI 31-75 (home), vs. RPI 51-100 (neutral site), vs. RPI 76-135 (away)
Tier 3: vs. RPI 76-160 (home), vs. RPI 101-200 (neutral site), vs. RPI 136-240 (away)
Tier 4: vs. RPI 161+ (home), vs. RPI 201+ (neutral site), vs. RPI 240+ (away)

Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4
Record 0-2 0-2 2-3 12-1
Win % by Tier 0.000 0.000 0.400 0.923

Our current projections give the Sam Houston State Bearkats a 52.4% chance to make the NCAA Tournament as conference champions or through an at-large bid. We project them to have a 0.0% chance at an NIT bid and a 47.6% chance of missing both the NCAA and NIT tournaments. Note that the predictions below take into account Sam Houston St’s future schedule and prior results and are not necessarily based on where the team currently stands. The seed probabilities are based on a result from five hundred simulations. These simulations use all the rules for NCAA seeding, i.e. conference champions get an auto bid to the NCAA Tournament, regular season champions get an auto bid to the NIT, etc.

Seed Probability
NCAA #1 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #2 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #3 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #4 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #5 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #6 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #7 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #8 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #9 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #10 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #11 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #12 Seed 0.0%
NCAA #13 Seed 0.4%
NCAA #14 Seed 22.8%
NCAA #15 Seed 28.8%
NCAA #16 Seed 0.4%
NIT #1 Seed 0.0%
NIT #2 Seed 0.0%
NIT #3 Seed 0.0%
NIT #4 Seed 0.0%
NIT #5 Seed 0.0%
NIT #6 Seed 0.0%
NIT #7 Seed 0.0%
NIT #8 Seed 0.0%

Below is the current schedule and future game projections for the Sam Houston State Bearkats. If a game has not been played yet, then the “result” of the game is replaced with the “win probability”.

Sam Houston St Schedule and Game Projections

Date Oppo Rank Opponent Location Result Score
11/6 No Rank E Texas Bap Home W 85-64
11/8 No Rank SW Univ TX Home W 94-56
11/11 145 Louisiana Tech Away L 69-76
11/14 36 Clemson Away L 59-74
11/16 124 Georgia Away L 64-75
11/19 327 Jackson St Neutal W 75-60
11/20 67 ETSU Neutral L 63-77
11/28 136 C Michigan Home L 65-81
12/1 249 Ark Little Rock Away L 52-79
12/8 210 Colorado St Away L 65-71
12/18 316 Alabama St Home W 78-57
12/22 102 Utah Valley Away L 79-85
12/31 No Rank TX Lutheran Home W 84-54
1/5 149 Abilene Chr Home W 71-68
1/9 299 Cent Arkansas Away W 78-69
1/12 341 Incarnate Word Home W 66-52
1/16 271 TAM C. Christi Home W 72-50
1/19 290 Houston Bap Away W 71-65
1/23 328 Northwestern LA Away W 78-64
1/26 245 Lamar Home W 69-59
1/30 258 SE Louisiana Away W 62-52
2/2 251 SF Austin Home W 94-72
2/6 331 McNeese St Home W 77-62
2/9 149 Abilene Chr Away W 90-85
2/13 271 TAM C. Christi Away W 70-69
2/16 245 Lamar Away 62.8%
2/20 318 Nicholls St Home 92%
2/23 290 Houston Bap Home 86.1%
2/27 254 New Orleans Away 62.8%
3/6 299 Cent Arkansas Home 88.6%
3/9 251 SF Austin Away 62.8%